ZIE vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 13, 2017 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Jason Doyle3 2 0 2 29
- 10Jacob Thorssell0 0 3 25
- 11Patryk Dudek0 3 3 0 28+1
- 12Jarosław Hampel3 2 1 0 39+1
- 13Piotr Protasiewicz2 2 2 1 18+2
- 14Sebastian Niedźwiedź3 0 14
- 15Alex Zgardziński1 1 02+1
- 1Krzysztof Kasprzak2 1 1 3 07
- 2Martin Vaculik1 0 3 3 07+1
- 3Przemysław Pawlicki2 3 2 07
- 4Niels Kristian Iversen1 1 1 3 17+2
- 5Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 2 1 312
- 6Rafał Karczmarz2 1 25+1
- 7Hubert Czerniawski0 0 W0
Heat by heat
- Jason Doyle · ZIE3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1*
- Jacob Thorssell · ZIE0
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE3
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR2
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE1
- Hubert Czerniawski · GOR0
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR1*
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE1*
- Hubert Czerniawski · GOR0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Martin Vaculik · GOR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR1
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Jason Doyle · ZIE2
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR1
- Jacob Thorssell · ZIE0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE0
- Jacob Thorssell · ZIE3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR1*
- Jason Doyle · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE1
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Jacob Thorssell · ZIE2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR2*
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR3
- Jason Doyle · ZIE2
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR1
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE0
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Jason Doyle · ZIE2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1*
- Martin Vaculik · GOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 20 → 15 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 6 km/h NW
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 75 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| ZIE | GOR | ZIE | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Niedźwiedź | 3 | 1.8 | 4 | +2.2 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 4 | 5.4 | 7 | +1.6 |
| Rafał Karczmarz | 3 | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 11.2 | 12 | +0.8 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 8.6 | 9 | +0.4 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 4 | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 9.1 | 9 | -0.1 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 7.1 | 7 | -0.1 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 7.1 | 7 | -0.1 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 8.4 | 8 | -0.4 |
| Alex Zgardziński | 3 | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 8.2 | 7 | -1.2 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 9.8 | 8 | -1.8 |
| Hubert Czerniawski | 3 | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.