RYB vs TOR

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 13, 2017 · Stadion Miejski, Rybnik

Results

RYB 49 : 41 TOR

RYB

9Fredrik Lindgren3 W 1 1 3 210+2
10Damian Baliński00
11Tobiasz Musielak1 3 2 2 2 313+1
12Mads Korneliussen0 1 01+1
13Brady Kurtz1 3 2 3 2 011+1
14Kacper Woryna3 0 1 3 3 313+1
15Robert Chmiel1 01

TOR

1Paweł Przedpełski1 u1+1
2Jack Holder2 1 3 0 17
3Michael Jepsen Jensen3 1 0 1 05+1
4Grzegorz Walasek2 2 2 2 19+2
5Chris Holder2 3 3 1 211+2
6Daniel Kaczmarek0 2 0 02
7Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński2 3 0 0 16

Heat by heat

Heat 167.47 s3:3

Heat 267.95 s4:2

Heat 368.02 s1:5

Heat 467.35 s1:5

Heat 567.41 s3:3

Heat 666.14 s3:3

Heat 766.83 s3:3

Heat 867.47 s3:3

Heat 965.83 s4:2

Heat 1066.30 s3:3

Heat 1166.36 s5:1

Heat 1266.44 s5:1

Heat 1366.00 s3:3

Heat 1466.32 s5:1

Heat 1566.49 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Cloudy → Partly cloudy; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 23 → 22 °C; Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
Wind: 7 km/h NE; gusts up to 21 km/h; Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 53 %; Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	9	15	−6	+6
5–7	9	9	0	0
8–10	10	8	+2	−2
11–13	13	5	+8	−8
14–15	8	4	+4	−4
	RYB	TOR	RYB	TOR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead RYB

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	0	66 %
2	+2	77 %
3	-2	47 %
4	-6	23 %
5	-6	22 %
6	-6	24 %
7	-6	18 %
8	-6	16 %
9	-4	28 %
10	-4	22 %
11	0	48 %
12	+4	86 %
13	+4	91 %
14	+8	100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Brady Kurtz	6	5.4	11	+5.6
Tobiasz Musielak	6	9.0	13	+4.0
Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński	5	3.8	6	+2.2
Grzegorz Walasek	5	7.6	9	+1.4
Jack Holder	5	6.3	7	+0.7
Chris Holder	5	10.9	11	+0.1
Kacper Woryna	6	13.1	13	-0.1
Paweł Przedpełski	1	1.7	1	-0.7
Damian Baliński	1	0.8	0	-0.8
Robert Chmiel	2	2.4	1	-1.4
Daniel Kaczmarek	4	3.5	2	-1.5
Mads Korneliussen	3	3.3	1	-2.3
Michael Jepsen Jensen	5	8.5	5	-3.5
Fredrik Lindgren	6	13.6	10	-3.6

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 68.0265.83 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 36.7:34.0 outside C + D

Trend ◀ +0.10

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source