ZIE vs RYB

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 6, 2017 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra

Results

ZIE 56 : 34 RYB

ZIE

9Jarosław Hampel1 3 1 27+2
10Jacob Thorssell2 2 2 3 312+1
11Patryk Dudek3 0 2 3 210+2
12Jason Doyle2 3 3 1 312+2
13Piotr Protasiewicz2 2 3 2 110+1
14Sebastian Niedźwiedź0 1 01+1
15Alex Zgardziński3 1 04+1

RYB

1Fredrik Lindgren3 2 2 3 2 214
2Mads Korneliussen0 1 1 0 0 02+2
3Tobiasz Musielak1 T 0 1 T 02
4Roman Lakhbaum0 00
5Damian Baliński0 1 D 12
6Robert Chmiel1 01+1
7Kacper Woryna2 3 3 1 1 313+1

Heat by heat

Heat 160.65 s3:3

Heat 261.56 s3:3

Heat 360.53 s5:1

Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
Jason Doyle · ZIE2*
Tobiasz Musielak · RYB1
Roman Lakhbaum · RYB0

Heat 460.53 s3:3

Heat 560.19 s3:3

Heat 660.34 s3:3

Heat 760.22 s5:1

Heat 860.06 s3:3

Heat 959.96 s3:3

Heat 1060.22 s5:1

Jason Doyle · ZIE3
Patryk Dudek · ZIE2*
Kacper Woryna · RYB1
Damian Baliński · RYBD

Heat 1160.19 s5:1

Heat 1260.12 s3:3

Heat 1360.85 s3:3

Heat 1460.81 s5:1

Heat 1560.47 s4:2

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Cloudy; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 21 → 17 °C; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Wind: 9 km/h NW; gusts up to 30 km/h; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 4.7 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 56 %; Regional estimate (Meteostat)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	14	10	+4	−4
5–7	11	7	+4	−4
8–10	11	7	+4	−4
11–13	11	7	+4	−4
14–15	9	3	+6	−6
	ZIE	RYB	ZIE	RYB

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead ZIE

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	0	66 %
2	0	64 %
3	+4	82 %
4	+4	83 %
5	+4	83 %
6	+4	82 %
7	+8	95 %
8	+8	94 %
9	+8	94 %
10	+12	100 %
11	+16	100 %
12	+16	100 %
13	+16	100 %
14	+20	100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Fredrik Lindgren	6	9.3	14	+4.7
Jacob Thorssell	5	7.5	12	+4.5
Kacper Woryna	6	10.8	13	+2.2
Alex Zgardziński	3	2.7	4	+1.3
Jason Doyle	5	10.9	12	+1.1
Patryk Dudek	5	10.1	10	-0.1
Sebastian Niedźwiedź	3	1.7	1	-0.7
Robert Chmiel	2	1.9	1	-0.9
Damian Baliński	4	3.5	2	-1.5
Piotr Protasiewicz	5	11.5	10	-1.5
Roman Lakhbaum	2	1.7	0	-1.7
Jarosław Hampel	4	8.8	7	-1.8
Tobiasz Musielak	4	4.1	2	-2.1
Mads Korneliussen	6	5.5	2	-3.5

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 61.5659.96 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 39.3:25.3 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −1.57 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source