GRU vs RYB
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 30, 2017 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Antonio Lindbäck3 2 3 2 111+1
- 10Krystian Pieszczek2 1 1 15+3
- 11Krzysztof Buczkowski3 3 2 2 313+1
- 12Rafał Okoniewski2 1 3 3 110+1
- 13Artem Laguta3 3 3 2 314
- 14Mike Trzensiok1 0 12
- 15Kamil WieczorekW 0 00
- 1Tobiasz MusielakW 2 2 W 04
- 2Damian Baliński1 0 12+1
- 3Max Fricke1 1 0 0 02+1
- 4Rafał Szombierski0 2 2 W4
- 5Fredrik Lindgren2 3 1 3 1 212
- 6Robert Chmiel2 02+1
- 7Kacper Woryna3 1 0 3 29+1
Heat by heat
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GRU2*
- Damian Baliński · RYB1
- Kacper Woryna · RYB3
- Robert Chmiel · RYB2*
- Mike Trzensiok · GRU1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU2*
- Max Fricke · RYB1
- Rafał Szombierski · RYB0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Fredrik Lindgren · RYB2
- Kacper Woryna · RYB1*
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Tobiasz Musielak · RYB2
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU1
- Damian Baliński · RYB0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Rafał Szombierski · RYB2
- Max Fricke · RYB1*
- Mike Trzensiok · GRU0
- Fredrik Lindgren · RYB3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU2
- Krystian Pieszczek · GRU1*
- Robert Chmiel · RYB0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Tobiasz Musielak · RYB2
- Damian Baliński · RYB1*
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU0
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU3
- Rafał Szombierski · RYB2
- Krystian Pieszczek · GRU1
- Max Fricke · RYB0
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2*
- Fredrik Lindgren · RYB1
- Kacper Woryna · RYB0
- Fredrik Lindgren · RYB3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Krystian Pieszczek · GRU1*
- Max Fricke · RYB0
- Kacper Woryna · RYB3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2
- Mike Trzensiok · GRU1
- Tobiasz Musielak · RYBW
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU2*
- Fredrik Lindgren · RYB1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Kacper Woryna · RYB2
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU1
- Max Fricke · RYB0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Fredrik Lindgren · RYB2
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU1
- Tobiasz Musielak · RYB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 30 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 14 km/h S
- gusts up to 33 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 39 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| GRU | RYB | GRU | RYB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +16 | 100 % |
| 14 | +18 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafał Okoniewski | 5 | 6.4 | 10 | +3.6 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 9.8 | 13 | +3.2 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 11.1 | 14 | +2.9 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 6 | 9.9 | 12 | +2.1 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 5 | 9.4 | 11 | +1.6 |
| Mike Trzensiok | 3 | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| Robert Chmiel | 2 | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| Rafał Szombierski | 4 | 4.0 | 4 | -0.0 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 9.1 | 9 | -0.1 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 4 | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 |
| Damian Baliński | 3 | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Kamil Wieczorek | 3 | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 7.3 | 4 | -3.3 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 8.9 | 2 | -6.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.