TOR vs WRO

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 25, 2017 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń

Results

TOR 41 : 49 WRO

TOR

9Michael Jepsen Jensen2 3 D 05
10Grzegorz Walasek0 2 2 2 06+1
11Chris Holder1 3 0 26+1
12Paweł Przedpełski2 2 2 2 08+1
13Greg Hancock3 1 3 1 3 314+1
14Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński2 0 D2
15Daniel Kaczmarek0 0 00

WRO

1Tai Woffinden1 0 2 3 17+1
2Szymon Woźniak3 1 1 05+1
3Maciej Janowski3 3 3 3 113+1
4Tomasz Jędrzejak0 2 1 14+1
5Vaclav Milik2 1 3 3 211
6Maksym Drabik3 0 1 26
7Damian Dróżdż1 1 13+1

Heat by heat

Heat 158.80 s2:4

Heat 258.26 s2:4

Heat 358.07 s3:3

Heat 458.71 s3:3

Heat 559.01 s5:1

Heat 658.16 s1:5

Heat 758.84 s5:1

Heat 859.25 s3:3

Heat 958.71 s2:4

Heat 1058.79 s2:4

Heat 1158.60 s3:3

Heat 1258.91 s2:4

Heat 1359.00 s2:4

Heat 1459.34 s3:3

Greg Hancock · TOR3
Maksym Drabik · WRO2
Tai Woffinden · WRO1*
Grzegorz Walasek · TOR0

Heat 1558.93 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Cloudy; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 22 → 19 °C; Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Wind: 11 km/h W; gusts up to 58 km/h; Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Rain during the meeting: 2.8 mm; Rain likely: a second model agrees; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0.7 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 76 %; Measured · Torun, 3 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	10	14	−4	+4
5–7	11	7	+4	−4
8–10	7	11	−4	+4
11–13	7	11	−4	+4
14–15	6	6	0	0
	TOR	WRO	TOR	WRO

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead TOR

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	-2	53 %
2	-4	37 %
3	-4	34 %
4	-4	38 %
5	0	64 %
6	-4	33 %
7	0	60 %
8	0	57 %
9	-2	44 %
10	-4	22 %
11	-4	18 %
12	-6	6 %
13	-8	2 %
14	-8	0 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Maciej Janowski	5	10.2	13	+2.8
Paweł Przedpełski	5	5.8	8	+2.2
Vaclav Milik	5	9.1	11	+1.9
Greg Hancock	6	12.8	14	+1.2
Grzegorz Walasek	5	5.3	6	+0.7
Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński	3	1.5	2	+0.5
Szymon Woźniak	4	4.6	5	+0.4
Damian Dróżdż	3	2.8	3	+0.2
Maksym Drabik	4	6.5	6	-0.5
Chris Holder	4	6.5	6	-0.5
Tomasz Jędrzejak	4	4.9	4	-0.9
Michael Jepsen Jensen	4	6.0	5	-1.0
Daniel Kaczmarek	3	2.6	0	-2.6
Tai Woffinden	5	11.5	7	-4.5

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 59.3458.07 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 29.0:31.7 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −2.77 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source