TOR vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Monday, April 17, 2017 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Greg Hancock3 3 1 0 310+1
- 10Michael Jepsen Jensen1 1 2 1 05
- 11Adrian Miedziński0 2 3 3 19+1
- 12Paweł Przedpełski1 3 0 15
- 13Chris Holder1 1 3 0 27+1
- 14Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński3 0 14
- 15Daniel Kaczmarek2 2 04+1
- 1Niels Kristian Iversen2 1 1 2 17+1
- 2Krzysztof Kasprzak0 0 2 24+1
- 3Przemysław Pawlicki3 3 0 3 312
- 4Martin Vaculik2 2 3 3 212+2
- 5Bartosz Zmarzlik3 2 2 2 W9+1
- 6Rafał Karczmarz0 0 00
- 7Hubert Czerniawski1 0 12+1
Heat by heat
- Greg Hancock · TOR3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR0
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR3
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR2*
- Hubert Czerniawski · GOR1
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1*
- Hubert Czerniawski · GOR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2*
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Greg Hancock · TOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR1
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR1*
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR2
- Greg Hancock · TOR1*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Hubert Czerniawski · GOR1*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR1
- Chris Holder · TOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR2
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR1
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Greg Hancock · TOR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR0
- Greg Hancock · TOR3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 6 → 4 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 10 km/h NE
- gusts up to 29 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.7 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 57 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| TOR | GOR | TOR | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | -4 | 8 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 6.4 | 12 | +5.6 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 8.6 | 12 | +3.4 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 6.5 | 9 | +2.5 |
| Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński | 3 | 1.8 | 4 | +2.2 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 3 | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Greg Hancock | 5 | 9.4 | 10 | +0.6 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 4 | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 5.4 | 5 | -0.4 |
| Hubert Czerniawski | 3 | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 10.7 | 9 | -1.7 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 4 | 6.9 | 4 | -2.9 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 10.0 | 7 | -3.0 |
| Rafał Karczmarz | 3 | 3.2 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 10.5 | 7 | -3.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.