WRO vs LES

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 3, 2016 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław

Results

WRO 58 : 32 LES
WRO
LES

Heat by heat

Heat 166.10 s3:3
Heat 267.53 s2:4
Heat 366.44 s3:3
Heat 467.33 s5:1
Heat 566.96 s5:1
Heat 666.35 s5:1
Heat 765.29 s4:2
Heat 866.25 s3:3
Heat 966.03 s5:1
Heat 1067.03 s4:2
Heat 1166.94 s5:1
Heat 1266.84 s4:2
Heat 1365.79 s4:2
Heat 1467.28 s4:2
Heat 1566.25 s2:4

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Partly cloudy
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature
22 → 21 °C
Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Wind
14 km/h NW
gusts up to 29 km/h
Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before
9.7 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity
37 %
Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–41311+2−2
5–7144+10−10
8–10126+6−6
11–13135+8−8
14–156600
WROLESWROLES

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead WRO
0510152025115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1066 %
2-254 %
3-247 %
4+273 %
5+690 %
6+1097 %
7+1299 %
8+1298 %
9+16100 %
10+18100 %
11+22100 %
12+24100 %
13+26100 %
14+28100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Vaclav Milik57.212+4.8
Tai Woffinden510.514+3.5
Damian Dróżdż32.75+2.3
Tomasz Jędrzejak55.88+2.2
Szymon Woźniak42.85+2.2
Adrian Gała32.24+1.8
Maciej Janowski58.310+1.7
Bartosz Smektała33.13-0.1
Tobiasz Musielak56.86-0.8
Piotr Pawlicki611.29-2.2
Dominik Kubera33.51-2.5
Emil Sajfutdinow511.88-3.8
Peter Kildemand34.50-4.5
Grzegorz Zengota59.75-4.7

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 67.5365.29 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 41.7:25.0 outside C + D
Trend ▶ −1.37 towards the outside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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