GOR vs RYB

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 3, 2016 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski

Results

GOR 53 : 36 RYB

GOR

9Niels Kristian Iversen2 3 3 1 211
10Michael Jepsen Jensen0 2 2 D4+2
11Przemysław Pawlicki3 3 3 3 113+1
12Adrian Cyfer1 W 0 01
13Krzysztof Kasprzak2 3 2 2 110+2
14Rafał Karczmarz2 0 M2+1
15Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 3 312

RYB

1Andreas Jonsson3 U3
2Rune Holta1 2 1 1 38
3Max Fricke2 2 0 3 1 08
4Damian BalińskiW 1 1 3 05+1
5Grigorij Laguta1 D 1 2 26+2
6Robert Chmiel0 1 23
7Kacper Woryna1 0 0 23

Heat by heat

Heat 159.82 s2:4

Heat 259.47 s5:1

Heat 360.19 s4:2

Heat 459.15 s5:1

Heat 561.00 s3:2

Heat 659.76 s3:3

Heat 760.06 s5:1

Heat 860.78 s5:1

Heat 961.00 s5:1

Heat 1060.57 s3:3

Heat 1160.97 s2:4

Heat 1261.35 s3:3

Heat 1361.94 s1:5

Heat 1461.47 s4:2

Heat 1561.10 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Partly cloudy; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 18 → 14 °C; Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Wind: 5 km/h E; gusts up to 26 km/h; Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0.1 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0.3 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 65 %; Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	16	8	+8	−8
5–7	11	6	+5	−5
8–10	13	5	+8	−8
11–13	6	12	−6	+6
14–15	7	5	+2	−2
	GOR	RYB	GOR	RYB

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead GOR

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	-2	53 %
2	+2	77 %
3	+4	82 %
4	+8	93 %
5	+9	96 %
6	+9	97 %
7	+13	100 %
8	+17	100 %
9	+21	100 %
10	+21	100 %
11	+19	100 %
12	+19	100 %
13	+15	100 %
14	+17	100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Krzysztof Kasprzak	5	7.8	10	+2.2
Przemysław Pawlicki	5	11.0	13	+2.0
Bartosz Zmarzlik	4	10.1	12	+1.9
Rune Holta	5	6.1	8	+1.9
Niels Kristian Iversen	5	10.2	11	+0.8
Robert Chmiel	3	2.3	3	+0.7
Damian Baliński	5	4.6	5	+0.4
Andreas Jonsson	2	3.3	3	-0.3
Kacper Woryna	4	3.5	3	-0.5
Michael Jepsen Jensen	4	5.0	4	-1.0
Rafał Karczmarz	3	3.0	2	-1.0
Adrian Cyfer	4	2.5	1	-1.5
Max Fricke	6	10.6	8	-2.6
Grigorij Laguta	5	10.2	6	-4.2

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 61.9459.15 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 32.7:27.7 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −3.52 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source