ZIE vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 22, 2016 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Patryk Dudek2 3 3 3 3 317
- 10Andriy Karpov0 3 0 1 3 D7
- 11Jason Doyle2 2 W W4+2
- 13Piotr Protasiewicz2 0 3 3 2 111+1
- 14Krystian Pieszczek2 1 1 0 15
- 15Sebastian Niedźwiedź0 0 D0
- 1Niels Kristian Iversen3 0 2 2 29+1
- 2Michael Jepsen Jensen1 1 13
- 3Przemysław PawlickiU 3 0 14
- 4Matej Zagar1 2 2 1 28+3
- 5Krzysztof Kasprzak3 2 2 2 09
- 6Bartosz Zmarzlik3 1 T 3 310+1
- 7Adrian Cyfer1 1 1 03
Heat by heat
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GOR1
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE2
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR1
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Jason Doyle · ZIE2*
- Matej Zagar · GOR1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GORU
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR1
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE0
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE3
- Jason Doyle · ZIE2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GOR1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR3
- Matej Zagar · GOR2*
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR1*
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GOR1
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIED
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Matej Zagar · GOR2
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR1
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR1
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR2*
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Matej Zagar · GOR1*
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Matej Zagar · GOR2*
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE1
- Andriy Karpov · ZIED
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 26 → 21 °C
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h E
- gusts up to 38 km/h
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 40 %
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| ZIE | GOR | ZIE | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | 0 | 56 % |
| 14 | -4 | 8 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patryk Dudek | 6 | 10.4 | 17 | +6.6 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 7.8 | 9 | +1.2 |
| Andriy Karpov | 6 | 6.0 | 7 | +1.0 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 5 | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 4 | 9.7 | 10 | +0.3 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 7.8 | 8 | +0.2 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 6 | 11.1 | 11 | -0.1 |
| Adrian Cyfer | 4 | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 3 | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 9.7 | 9 | -0.7 |
| Sebastian Niedźwiedź | 3 | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Jason Doyle | 4 | 6.6 | 4 | -2.6 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 4 | 7.2 | 4 | -3.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.