LES vs RYB
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 8, 2016 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Piotr Pawlicki2 2 3 2 312
- 10Tobiasz Musielak1 1 2 3 310+2
- 11Grzegorz Zengota3 3 2 1 110+1
- 12Peter KildemandW 1 W 01
- 13Nicki Pedersen1 3 1 W 16
- 14Daniel Kaczmarek0 0 22
- 15Bartosz Smektała1 3 04
- 1Andreas Jonsson3 2 2 3 010+1
- 2Damian BalińskiW 0 3 14
- 3Rune Holta2 1 1 2 U6+1
- 4Max Fricke1 2 D 3 28
- 5Grigorij Laguta2 3 3 1 211
- 6Robert Chmiel3 0 03
- 7Kacper Woryna2 0 13+1
Heat by heat
- Andreas Jonsson · RYB3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES1
- Robert Chmiel · RYB3
- Kacper Woryna · RYB2*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LES0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Rune Holta · RYB2
- Max Fricke · RYB1
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Grigorij Laguta · RYB2
- Nicki Pedersen · LES1
- Kacper Woryna · RYB0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Andreas Jonsson · RYB2
- Peter Kildemand · LES1
- Damian Baliński · RYB0
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Max Fricke · RYB2
- Rune Holta · RYB1*
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LES0
- Grigorij Laguta · RYB3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES1*
- Robert Chmiel · RYB0
- Damian Baliński · RYB3
- Andreas Jonsson · RYB2*
- Nicki Pedersen · LES1
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES2*
- Rune Holta · RYB1
- Max Fricke · RYBD
- Grigorij Laguta · RYB3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Kacper Woryna · RYB1
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES3
- Rune Holta · RYB2
- Damian Baliński · RYB1
- Nicki Pedersen · LESW
- Andreas Jonsson · RYB3
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LES2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1*
- Robert Chmiel · RYB0
- Max Fricke · RYB3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Grigorij Laguta · RYB1
- Peter Kildemand · LES0
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES3
- Max Fricke · RYB2
- Nicki Pedersen · LES1
- Rune Holta · RYBU
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Grigorij Laguta · RYB2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Andreas Jonsson · RYB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 22 → 20 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 7 km/h E
- gusts up to 39 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 48 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| LES | RYB | LES | RYB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 5.8 | 10 | +4.2 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 4.5 | 8 | +3.5 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 9.5 | 12 | +2.5 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 3 | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 5 | 8.5 | 10 | +1.5 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 5 | 9.6 | 11 | +1.4 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 9.3 | 10 | +0.7 |
| Damian Baliński | 4 | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| Kacper Woryna | 3 | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Robert Chmiel | 3 | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 3 | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| Rune Holta | 5 | 8.6 | 6 | -2.6 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 11.3 | 6 | -5.3 |
| Peter Kildemand | 4 | 7.1 | 1 | -6.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.