ZIE vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 1, 2016 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Patryk Dudek3 3 3 D 2 011
- 10Andriy Karpov2 0 1 3 17+1
- 11Jason Doyle1 2 3 3 W 211
- 13Piotr Protasiewicz3 3 3 1 3 215
- 14Krystian Pieszczek3 1 0 W4
- 15Sebastian Niedźwiedź1 1 02
- 1Piotr Pawlicki1 3 1 2 18+1
- 2Tobiasz Musielak0 1 2 W3
- 3Grzegorz Zengota2 0 2 2 39
- 4Peter Kildemand0 2 1 3 17
- 5Nicki Pedersen2 2 2 1 310
- 6Bartosz Smektała2 0 0 13+1
- 7Daniel Kaczmarek0 00
Heat by heat
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES0
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LES0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Jason Doyle · ZIE1
- Peter Kildemand · LES0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Jason Doyle · ZIE2
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES1
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Peter Kildemand · LES2
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE1
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE1
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1*
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE0
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Peter Kildemand · LES1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIED
- Jason Doyle · ZIE3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE1
- Jason Doyle · ZIE3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1*
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE0
- Peter Kildemand · LES3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Nicki Pedersen · LES1
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Jason Doyle · ZIE2
- Peter Kildemand · LES1
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIEW
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 17 → 10 °C
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Wind
- 8 km/h NE
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 54 %
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| ZIE | LES | ZIE | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +14 | 99 % |
| 11 | +16 | 100 % |
| 12 | +16 | 100 % |
| 13 | +14 | 100 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 6 | 10.5 | 15 | +4.5 |
| Andriy Karpov | 5 | 4.7 | 7 | +2.3 |
| Patryk Dudek | 6 | 9.8 | 11 | +1.2 |
| Jason Doyle | 6 | 10.5 | 11 | +0.5 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 4 | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 8.8 | 9 | +0.2 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 10.3 | 10 | -0.3 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 4 | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| Sebastian Niedźwiedź | 3 | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| Peter Kildemand | 5 | 8.4 | 7 | -1.4 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 4 | 4.6 | 3 | -1.6 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 9.6 | 8 | -1.6 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 2 | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.