ZIE vs RYB
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 24, 2016 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Patryk Dudek2 2 2 3 1 313+1
- 10Andriy Karpov0 3 2 27+1
- 11Jason Doyle1 2 2 3 3 112+1
- 13Piotr Protasiewicz2 1 3 D D 17+1
- 14Krystian PieszczekD 0 2 2 04+1
- 15Sebastian Niedźwiedź2 1 03+1
- 1Andreas Jonsson3 3 2 1 09
- 2Max Fricke1 1 1 3 39+1
- 3Rune Holta0 3 1 1 27+1
- 4Damian Baliński3 0 0 25
- 5Grigorij Laguta3 1 3 0 29
- 6Kamil Wieczorek3 0 03
- 7Robert ChmielW 0 11
Heat by heat
- Andreas Jonsson · RYB3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Max Fricke · RYB1
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE0
- Kamil Wieczorek · RYB3
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE2
- Damian Baliński · RYB3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Jason Doyle · ZIE1*
- Rune Holta · RYB0
- Grigorij Laguta · RYB3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE1*
- Robert Chmiel · RYB0
- Andreas Jonsson · RYB3
- Jason Doyle · ZIE2
- Max Fricke · RYB1
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE0
- Rune Holta · RYB3
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1*
- Damian Baliński · RYB0
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2*
- Grigorij Laguta · RYB1
- Kamil Wieczorek · RYB0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Andreas Jonsson · RYB2
- Max Fricke · RYB1*
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE2*
- Rune Holta · RYB1
- Damian Baliński · RYB0
- Grigorij Laguta · RYB3
- Jason Doyle · ZIE2
- Robert Chmiel · RYB1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIED
- Max Fricke · RYB3
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE2
- Rune Holta · RYB1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIED
- Jason Doyle · ZIE3
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE2*
- Andreas Jonsson · RYB1
- Kamil Wieczorek · RYB0
- Jason Doyle · ZIE3
- Damian Baliński · RYB2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Grigorij Laguta · RYB0
- Max Fricke · RYB3
- Rune Holta · RYB2*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Grigorij Laguta · RYB2
- Jason Doyle · ZIE1
- Andreas Jonsson · RYB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 7 → 6 °C
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h W
- gusts up to 35 km/h
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 57 %
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 13 | −3 | +3 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| ZIE | RYB | ZIE | RYB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -3 | 54 % |
| 3 | -3 | 47 % |
| 4 | -3 | 46 % |
| 5 | -5 | 34 % |
| 6 | -5 | 33 % |
| 7 | -1 | 60 % |
| 8 | -1 | 57 % |
| 9 | +3 | 88 % |
| 10 | +1 | 70 % |
| 11 | -1 | 48 % |
| 12 | +3 | 86 % |
| 13 | +5 | 96 % |
| 14 | +1 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Fricke | 5 | 4.1 | 9 | +4.9 |
| Andriy Karpov | 4 | 4.2 | 7 | +2.8 |
| Patryk Dudek | 6 | 11.4 | 13 | +1.6 |
| Damian Baliński | 4 | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| Jason Doyle | 6 | 10.7 | 12 | +1.3 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 5 | 8.5 | 9 | +0.5 |
| Kamil Wieczorek | 3 | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Sebastian Niedźwiedź | 3 | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 5 | 9.5 | 9 | -0.5 |
| Robert Chmiel | 3 | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Rune Holta | 5 | 8.9 | 7 | -1.9 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 5 | 6.9 | 4 | -2.9 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 6 | 13.2 | 7 | -6.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.