LES vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, April 22, 2016 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Piotr Pawlicki2 3 2 2 312
- 10Tobiasz Musielak1 2 1 1 16+4
- 11Grzegorz Zengota1 2 2 2 310+1
- 12Peter Kildemand3 U W3
- 13Nicki Pedersen3 3 3 2 011
- 14Daniel Kaczmarek3 0 3 06
- 15Bartosz Smektała2 0 02+1
- 1Martin Vaculik3 3 1 0 1 19+2
- 2Kacper Gomolski0 1 2 D3
- 3Adrian MiedzińskiW 1 01+1
- 4Greg Hancock2 2 3 3 3 215
- 5Chris Holder2 1 1 1 27
- 6Paweł Przedpełski1 1 0 3 W5+1
- 7Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński0 u0
Heat by heat
- Martin Vaculik · TOR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES1*
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR0
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LES3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Peter Kildemand · LES3
- Greg Hancock · TOR2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Martin Vaculik · TOR3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR1
- Peter Kildemand · LESU
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Greg Hancock · TOR2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1*
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES2*
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR2
- Martin Vaculik · TOR1*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Greg Hancock · TOR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES1*
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Greg Hancock · TOR3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES1*
- Martin Vaculik · TOR0
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LES3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2*
- Martin Vaculik · TOR1
- Greg Hancock · TOR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LES0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES1
- Kacper Gomolski · TORD
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Greg Hancock · TOR2
- Martin Vaculik · TOR1*
- Nicki Pedersen · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 12 → 5 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 8 km/h NW
- gusts up to 21 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 52 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| LES | TOR | LES | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 7.7 | 12 | +4.3 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 4 | 2.8 | 6 | +3.2 |
| Greg Hancock | 6 | 12.7 | 15 | +2.3 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 8.4 | 10 | +1.6 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 9.7 | 11 | +1.3 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 3 | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 7.5 | 7 | -0.5 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 4 | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński | 1 | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Peter Kildemand | 3 | 4.6 | 3 | -1.6 |
| Martin Vaculik | 6 | 11.8 | 9 | -2.8 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 3 | 3.9 | 1 | -2.9 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 9.8 | 5 | -4.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.