TOR vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 17, 2016 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Martin Vaculik3 3 2 W 311
- 10Kacper Gomolski0 2 02+1
- 11Chris Holder2 2 3 2 312+1
- 12Adrian Miedziński1 3 2 3 211+3
- 13Greg Hancock0 1 2 25+1
- 14Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński0 0 00
- 15Paweł Przedpełski3 2 1 3 110+1
- 1Patryk Dudek2 3 0 T 1 0 D6
- 2Andriy Karpov1 1 0 13+1
- 3Jason Doyle0 2 1 0 14+1
- 5Piotr Protasiewicz3 3 1 D 2 110
- 6Sebastian Niedźwiedź1 01+1
- 7Krystian Pieszczek2 1 3 3 1 3 215
Heat by heat
- Martin Vaculik · TOR3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE1*
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE2
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE1*
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1*
- Jason Doyle · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE1
- Greg Hancock · TOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2*
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Jason Doyle · ZIE2*
- Greg Hancock · TOR1
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Martin Vaculik · TOR3
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR2*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE0
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE3
- Greg Hancock · TOR2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1*
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE0
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE3
- Martin Vaculik · TOR2
- Jason Doyle · ZIE1
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIED
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Greg Hancock · TOR2*
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE1
- Jason Doyle · ZIE0
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Jason Doyle · ZIE1
- Martin Vaculik · TORW
- Martin Vaculik · TOR3
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIED
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 11 → 8 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 5 km/h SW
- gusts up to 31 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 6.2 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 82 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| TOR | ZIE | TOR | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krystian Pieszczek | 7 | 5.8 | 15 | +9.2 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 6.9 | 12 | +5.1 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 6.4 | 11 | +4.6 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 9.1 | 10 | +0.9 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 10.4 | 11 | +0.6 |
| Andriy Karpov | 4 | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Sebastian Niedźwiedź | 2 | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 3 | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 6 | 11.4 | 10 | -1.4 |
| Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński | 3 | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Greg Hancock | 4 | 9.3 | 5 | -4.3 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 8.4 | 4 | -4.4 |
| Patryk Dudek | 6 | 11.9 | 6 | -5.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.