GOR vs GRU
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 17, 2016 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Niels Kristian Iversen0 3 3 3 211
- 10Michael Jepsen Jensen2 0 02
- 11Matej Zagar0 0 3 25+1
- 12Przemysław Pawlicki3 3 2 1 09+1
- 13Krzysztof Kasprzak2 1 3 2 210+4
- 14Bartosz Zmarzlik3 2 3 3 314
- 15Adrian Cyfer2 3 05+1
- 1Antonio Lindbäck3 1 2 0 0 39+1
- 2Peter Ljung1 2 1 1 05+1
- 3Rafał Okoniewski2 3 2 0 2 110
- 4Krzysztof Buczkowski1 0 1 13+2
- 5Artem Laguta1 2 W3
- 6Marcin Nowak1 1 1 14+1
- 7Mike Trzensiok0 00
Heat by heat
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GOR2
- Peter Ljung · GRU1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR2*
- Marcin Nowak · GRU1
- Mike Trzensiok · GRU0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR3
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1*
- Matej Zagar · GOR0
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2*
- Artem Laguta · GRU1
- Mike Trzensiok · GRU0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR3
- Peter Ljung · GRU2
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU1*
- Matej Zagar · GOR0
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Marcin Nowak · GRU1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GOR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU2
- Peter Ljung · GRU1*
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR3
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GOR0
- Matej Zagar · GOR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR2*
- Marcin Nowak · GRU1
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2*
- Peter Ljung · GRU1
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Matej Zagar · GOR2*
- Marcin Nowak · GRU1
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR3
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR1
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Peter Ljung · GRU0
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR2
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 12 → 11 °C
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h W
- gusts up to 41 km/h
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 3.6 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 47 %
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| GOR | GRU | GOR | GRU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +18 | 100 % |
| 13 | +20 | 100 % |
| 14 | +24 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 5.6 | 10 | +4.4 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 6.8 | 9 | +2.2 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 11.8 | 14 | +2.2 |
| Marcin Nowak | 4 | 1.9 | 4 | +2.1 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 6 | 8.2 | 10 | +1.8 |
| Adrian Cyfer | 3 | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 9.4 | 11 | +1.6 |
| Matej Zagar | 4 | 6.4 | 5 | -1.4 |
| Mike Trzensiok | 2 | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 3 | 3.8 | 2 | -1.8 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 6 | 10.9 | 9 | -1.9 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 4 | 5.6 | 3 | -2.6 |
| Peter Ljung | 5 | 7.9 | 5 | -2.9 |
| Artem Laguta | 3 | 6.8 | 3 | -3.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.