WRO vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 18, 2016 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław
Results
- 9Tai Woffinden3 2 2 3 3 114
- 10Szymon Woźniak0 W 11+1
- 11Tomasz Jędrzejak1 1 1 1 26+2
- 12Vaclav Milik3 2 3 1 2 314+1
- 13Maciej Janowski2 D 2 04
- 14Damian Dróżdż0 2 0 02
- 15Adrian Gała1 01
- 1Patryk Dudek1 3 1 2 18+2
- 2Jarosław Hampel2 0 3 2 07+1
- 3Jason Doyle2 3 3 3 213
- 4Andriy Karpov0 1 01
- 5Piotr Protasiewicz3 3 2 0 08
- 6Krystian Pieszczek3 1 3 18
- 7Alex Zgardziński2 1 03+1
Heat by heat
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1*
- Szymon Woźniak · WRO0
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE3
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE2*
- Adrian Gała · WRO1
- Damian Dróżdż · WRO0
- Vaclav Milik · WRO3
- Jason Doyle · ZIE2
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO1
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE1
- Adrian Gała · WRO0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Vaclav Milik · WRO2
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO1*
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE0
- Jason Doyle · ZIE3
- Damian Dróżdż · WRO2
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE1
- Maciej Janowski · WROD
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE1
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Damian Dróżdż · WRO0
- Jason Doyle · ZIE3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Szymon Woźniak · WRO1*
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE0
- Vaclav Milik · WRO3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO1
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE0
- Jason Doyle · ZIE3
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE2*
- Vaclav Milik · WRO1
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2*
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO1
- Damian Dróżdż · WRO0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Vaclav Milik · WRO2*
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO2*
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE0
- Vaclav Milik · WRO3
- Jason Doyle · ZIE2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Showers → Drizzle
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Temperature
- 15 → 13 °C
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Wind
- 15 km/h NE
- gusts up to 35 km/h
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 30.3 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 90 %
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| WRO | ZIE | WRO | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead WRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -8 | 13 % |
| 8 | -10 | 7 % |
| 9 | -10 | 2 % |
| 10 | -8 | 5 % |
| 11 | -12 | 0 % |
| 12 | -16 | 0 % |
| 13 | -12 | 0 % |
| 14 | -8 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vaclav Milik | 6 | 7.1 | 14 | +6.9 |
| Tai Woffinden | 6 | 11.5 | 14 | +2.5 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 4 | 5.8 | 8 | +2.2 |
| Alex Zgardziński | 3 | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 12.6 | 13 | +0.4 |
| Adrian Gała | 2 | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Damian Dróżdż | 4 | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 8.8 | 8 | -0.8 |
| Tomasz Jędrzejak | 5 | 6.9 | 6 | -0.9 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 8.1 | 7 | -1.1 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 3 | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| Andriy Karpov | 3 | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 10.2 | 8 | -2.2 |
| Maciej Janowski | 4 | 6.6 | 4 | -2.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.