TOR vs GOR

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 18, 2016 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń

Results

TOR 49 : 41 GOR

TOR

9Martin Vaculik1 2 3 2 08+1
10Kacper Gomolski2 13+1
11Chris Holder2 3 0 3 311+1
12Adrian Miedziński3 2 1 0 17+1
13Greg Hancock3 3 3 1 111
14Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński0 0 00
15Paweł Przedpełski2 2 2 0 39+2

GOR

1Niels Kristian Iversen3 1 0 15+1
2Michael Jepsen Jensen0 00
3Matej Zagar1 1 2 2 06+1
4Przemysław Pawlicki0 2 1 1 37+1
5Krzysztof Kasprzak1 0 3 0 3 29
6Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 1 2 2 213+2
7Adrian Cyfer1 01

Heat by heat

Heat 159.19 s3:3

Heat 259.25 s2:4

Heat 358.41 s5:1

Heat 458.28 s5:1

Heat 559.16 s5:1

Heat 658.75 s3:3

Heat 758.44 s3:3

Heat 859.50 s5:1

Heat 959.95 s3:3

Heat 1059.28 s1:5

Heat 1159.94 s4:2

Heat 1259.21 s3:3

Heat 1359.54 s2:4

Heat 1460.10 s1:5

Heat 1559.28 s4:2

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Partly cloudy; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 16 → 13 °C; Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Wind: 7 km/h NE; gusts up to 29 km/h; Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 50 %; Measured · Torun, 3 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	15	9	+6	−6
5–7	11	7	+4	−4
8–10	9	9	0	0
11–13	9	9	0	0
14–15	5	7	−2	+2
	TOR	GOR	TOR	GOR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead TOR

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	0	66 %
2	-2	54 %
3	+2	77 %
4	+6	90 %
5	+10	96 %
6	+10	97 %
7	+10	97 %
8	+14	100 %
9	+14	100 %
10	+10	96 %
11	+12	100 %
12	+12	100 %
13	+10	100 %
14	+6	100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Paweł Przedpełski	5	6.6	9	+2.4
Chris Holder	5	9.2	11	+1.8
Adrian Miedziński	5	5.4	7	+1.6
Greg Hancock	5	9.8	11	+1.2
Kacper Gomolski	2	1.9	3	+1.1
Bartosz Zmarzlik	6	12.3	13	+0.7
Matej Zagar	5	6.2	6	-0.2
Adrian Cyfer	2	1.2	1	-0.2
Przemysław Pawlicki	5	7.3	7	-0.3
Martin Vaculik	5	8.9	8	-0.9
Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński	3	1.2	0	-1.2
Krzysztof Kasprzak	6	10.4	9	-1.4
Michael Jepsen Jensen	2	1.8	0	-1.8
Niels Kristian Iversen	4	7.9	5	-2.9

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 60.1058.28 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 31.7:31.7 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −2.83 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source