TOR vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 4, 2016 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Martin Vaculik3 3 2 2 010
- 10Kacper Gomolski1 1 13+1
- 11Chris Holder3 3 3 3 113
- 12Adrian Miedziński1 2 1 15+2
- 13Greg Hancock2 D 3 3 311
- 14Paweł Przedpełski2 2 0 2 28+2
- 15Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński0 0 00
- 1Patryk DudekT 0 2 1 14
- 2Andriy Karpov0 1 1 02+1
- 3Jarosław Hampel0 1 01
- 4Jason Doyle2 3 3 2 0 313
- 5Piotr Protasiewicz3 2 2 1 3 213+2
- 6Krystian Pieszczek2 3 W 05
- 7Alex Zgardziński1 1 02
Heat by heat
- Martin Vaculik · TOR3
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE2
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR1
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE0
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE1
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Jason Doyle · ZIE2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Greg Hancock · TOR2
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE1
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
- Jason Doyle · ZIE3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE1
- Greg Hancock · TORD
- Martin Vaculik · TOR3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR1
- Greg Hancock · TOR3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE1*
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Jason Doyle · ZIE3
- Martin Vaculik · TOR2
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR1*
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE0
- Greg Hancock · TOR3
- Jason Doyle · ZIE2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2*
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Martin Vaculik · TOR2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1*
- Jason Doyle · ZIE0
- Greg Hancock · TOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2*
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE0
- Jason Doyle · ZIE3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2*
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Martin Vaculik · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Showers
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 19 → 17 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h SW
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 2 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.9 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 89 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| TOR | ZIE | TOR | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +14 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Holder | 5 | 9.1 | 13 | +3.9 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 6 | 9.7 | 13 | +3.3 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 5.7 | 8 | +2.3 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 4 | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 9.1 | 10 | +0.9 |
| Jason Doyle | 6 | 12.5 | 13 | +0.5 |
| Alex Zgardziński | 3 | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| Greg Hancock | 5 | 10.7 | 11 | +0.3 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 3 | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 4 | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
| Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński | 3 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Andriy Karpov | 4 | 4.4 | 2 | -2.4 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 3 | 4.3 | 1 | -3.3 |
| Patryk Dudek | 4 | 8.6 | 4 | -4.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.