RYB vs GOR

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 21, 2016 · Stadion Miejski, Rybnik

Results

RYB 43 : 47 GOR

RYB

9Max Fricke3 1 0 2 17+1
10Damian BalińskiM 0 11
11Rune Holta2 2 1 2 310+2
12Andreas Jonsson1 1 2 0 04+2
13Grigorij Laguta3 3 3 3 012
14Robert Chmiel1 01
15Kacper Woryna2 1 0 3 28

GOR

1Niels Kristian Iversen2 3 2 1 08
2Michael Jepsen Jensen1 0 12+1
3Matej Zagar3 2 3 1 110+2
4Przemysław Pawlicki0 1 2 14+2
5Krzysztof Kasprzak2 3 3 3 213
6Bartosz Zmarzlik3 2 2 0 310+1
7Adrian CyferD 0 00

Heat by heat

Heat 164.85 s3:3

Heat 265.13 s3:3

Heat 364.65 s3:3

Heat 465.58 s4:2

Heat 565.32 s3:3

Heat 665.38 s3:3

Heat 765.80 s1:5

Heat 865.74 s3:3

Heat 965.74 s1:5

Heat 1065.83 s3:3

Heat 1165.57 s3:3

Heat 1265.76 s5:1

Heat 1366.00 s2:4

Heat 1465.45 s3:3

Heat 1566.22 s3:3

Rune Holta · RYB3
Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
Matej Zagar · GOR1*
Grigorij Laguta · RYB0

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Cloudy; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 17 → 14 °C; Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
Wind: 5 km/h W; gusts up to 23 km/h; Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 11.9 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 92 %; Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	13	11	+2	−2
5–7	7	11	−4	+4
8–10	7	11	−4	+4
11–13	10	8	+2	−2
14–15	6	6	0	0
	RYB	GOR	RYB	GOR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead RYB

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	0	66 %
2	0	64 %
3	0	64 %
4	+2	73 %
5	+2	69 %
6	+2	74 %
7	-2	46 %
8	-2	48 %
9	-6	20 %
10	-6	15 %
11	-6	12 %
12	-2	35 %
13	-4	14 %
14	-4	8 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Grigorij Laguta	5	8.5	12	+3.5
Kacper Woryna	5	4.6	8	+3.4
Krzysztof Kasprzak	5	9.7	13	+3.3
Matej Zagar	5	7.3	10	+2.7
Rune Holta	5	7.8	10	+2.2
Robert Chmiel	2	1.4	1	-0.4
Max Fricke	5	7.4	7	-0.4
Michael Jepsen Jensen	3	3.1	2	-1.1
Damian Baliński	3	2.3	1	-1.3
Bartosz Zmarzlik	5	11.4	10	-1.4
Niels Kristian Iversen	5	9.8	8	-1.8
Adrian Cyfer	3	1.9	0	-1.9
Przemysław Pawlicki	4	6.3	4	-2.3
Andreas Jonsson	5	8.5	4	-4.5

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 66.2264.65 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 37.7:29.7 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −4.77 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source