LES vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 21, 2016 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Piotr Pawlicki1 3 1 0 27
- 10Tobiasz Musielak0 2 0 02+1
- 11Grzegorz Zengota2 W 0 24
- 12Emil Sajfutdinow1 3 2 3 3 315+1
- 13Peter Kildemand3 1 1 1 28+1
- 14Dominik Kubera3 0 14+1
- 15Bartosz Smektała2 1 03+1
- 1Tai Woffinden3 2 3 3 112
- 2Szymon Woźniak2 1 2 05+2
- 3Maciej Janowski0 2 2 2 39+2
- 4Tomasz Jędrzejak3 3 3 2 011
- 5Vaclav Milik2 1 3 1 18+1
- 6Adrian Gała0 0 00
- 7Damian Dróżdż1 0 12
Heat by heat
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Szymon Woźniak · WRO2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES0
- Dominik Kubera · LES3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2*
- Damian Dróżdż · WRO1
- Adrian Gała · WRO0
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
- Peter Kildemand · LES3
- Vaclav Milik · WRO2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Damian Dróżdż · WRO0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Szymon Woźniak · WRO1
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2*
- Peter Kildemand · LES1
- Dominik Kubera · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES2*
- Vaclav Milik · WRO1
- Adrian Gała · WRO0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Szymon Woźniak · WRO2*
- Peter Kildemand · LES1
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES0
- Vaclav Milik · WRO3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Damian Dróżdż · WRO1
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Peter Kildemand · LES1
- Szymon Woźniak · WRO0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Dominik Kubera · LES1*
- Adrian Gała · WRO0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO2
- Vaclav Milik · WRO1*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Vaclav Milik · WRO1
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Peter Kildemand · LES2*
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 18 → 14 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 7 km/h SW
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 12.6 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 96 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 4 | 14 | −10 | +10 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| LES | WRO | LES | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -6 | 20 % |
| 10 | -8 | 5 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -6 | 4 % |
| 14 | -8 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomasz Jędrzejak | 5 | 5.9 | 11 | +5.1 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 6 | 11.9 | 15 | +3.1 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 4 | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 11.1 | 12 | +0.9 |
| Dominik Kubera | 3 | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 8.5 | 9 | +0.5 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 3 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Vaclav Milik | 5 | 8.7 | 8 | -0.7 |
| Peter Kildemand | 5 | 8.9 | 8 | -0.9 |
| Damian Dróżdż | 3 | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 9.0 | 7 | -2.0 |
| Adrian Gała | 3 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 4 | 6.1 | 4 | -2.1 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 4 | 5.1 | 2 | -3.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.