GOR vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Monday, August 15, 2016 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Niels Kristian Iversen2 2 3 2 09
- 10Michael Jepsen Jensen1 1 02+2
- 11Przemysław Pawlicki0 3 1 2 28+1
- 12Matej Zagar2 2 2 1 18+2
- 13Krzysztof Kasprzak2 1 0 14+1
- 14Adrian Cyfer2 0 02+1
- 15Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 1 3 111+1
- 1Patryk Dudek3 1 3 3 313
- 2Oleksandr Loktayev0 00
- 3Jason Doyle3 3 2 2 2 214+2
- 4Andriy Karpov1 2 1 0 04+2
- 5Piotr Protasiewicz1 3 3 3 313
- 6Krystian Pieszczek1 0 0 12
- 7Sebastian Niedźwiedź0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GOR1*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIE0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR2*
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE1
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE0
- Jason Doyle · ZIE3
- Matej Zagar · GOR2
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR3
- Matej Zagar · GOR2*
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIE0
- Jason Doyle · ZIE3
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GOR1*
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Jason Doyle · ZIE2*
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR3
- Jason Doyle · ZIE2
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GOR0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Matej Zagar · GOR2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR1*
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Jason Doyle · ZIE2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR2
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE1
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR2
- Matej Zagar · GOR1*
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR2
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR1*
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Jason Doyle · ZIE2*
- Matej Zagar · GOR1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 19 → 16 °C
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h N
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 62 %
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| GOR | ZIE | GOR | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 8.6 | 13 | +4.4 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 10.8 | 13 | +2.2 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 6.6 | 8 | +1.4 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 6.9 | 8 | +1.1 |
| Jason Doyle | 6 | 13.2 | 14 | +0.8 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 10.3 | 11 | +0.7 |
| Adrian Cyfer | 3 | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 8.9 | 9 | +0.1 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 3 | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| Sebastian Niedźwiedź | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Andriy Karpov | 5 | 5.7 | 4 | -1.7 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 2 | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 4 | 6.2 | 4 | -2.2 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 4 | 5.4 | 2 | -3.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.