ZIE vs GRU
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 7, 2016 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Patryk Dudek2 2 2 2 311+1
- 10Oleksandr Loktayev0 1 01+1
- 11Jason Doyle2 1 3 3 312+2
- 12Andriy KarpovT 2 2 3 07+1
- 13Piotr Protasiewicz2 3 2 3 212+2
- 14Sebastian Niedźwiedź2 0 02+1
- 15Krystian Pieszczek3 3 3 0 110
- 1Antonio Lindbäck3 0 3 0 2 19
- 2Peter Ljung1 3 1 2 T7
- 3Rafał Okoniewski1 2 1 26
- 4Krzysztof Buczkowski0 1 3 0 15+2
- 5Artem Laguta1 3 1 16
- 6Marcin NowakT 0 1 01+1
- 7Mike Trzensiok1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Peter Ljung · GRU1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIE0
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE3
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE2*
- Mike Trzensiok · GRU1
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE3
- Jason Doyle · ZIE2*
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU0
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2*
- Artem Laguta · GRU1
- Mike Trzensiok · GRU0
- Peter Ljung · GRU3
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE2
- Jason Doyle · ZIE1*
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1*
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIE1*
- Marcin Nowak · GRU0
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Peter Ljung · GRU1
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIE0
- Jason Doyle · ZIE3
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE2*
- Artem Laguta · GRU1
- Mike Trzensiok · GRU0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Peter Ljung · GRU2
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE1
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU0
- Jason Doyle · ZIE3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU2
- Marcin Nowak · GRU1*
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE0
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2*
- Artem Laguta · GRU1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1*
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE0
- Jason Doyle · ZIE3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2*
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU1
- Marcin Nowak · GRU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 23 → 16 °C
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h S
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 69 %
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| ZIE | GRU | ZIE | GRU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +16 | 100 % |
| 14 | +16 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 8.1 | 12 | +3.9 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 5 | 6.9 | 10 | +3.1 |
| Andriy Karpov | 4 | 4.1 | 7 | +2.9 |
| Peter Ljung | 4 | 5.3 | 7 | +1.7 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 11.6 | 12 | +0.4 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 10.7 | 11 | +0.3 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 4 | 5.7 | 6 | +0.3 |
| Sebastian Niedźwiedź | 3 | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Mike Trzensiok | 3 | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Artem Laguta | 4 | 7.8 | 6 | -1.8 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 3 | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Marcin Nowak | 4 | 3.4 | 1 | -2.4 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 6 | 11.5 | 9 | -2.5 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 8.2 | 5 | -3.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.