TOR vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 7, 2016 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Martin Vaculik1 3 3 2 211+1
- 10Kacper Gomolski2 0 2 15+1
- 11Chris Holder3 2 2 3 111
- 12Adrian Miedziński1 1 1 W3+2
- 13Greg Hancock3 3 3 3 315
- 14Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński0 0 00
- 15Paweł Przedpełski3 2 0 05+1
- 1Niels Kristian Iversen3 3 1 2 1 212+2
- 2Michael Jepsen Jensen0 00
- 3Matej Zagar2 2 0 04
- 4Przemysław Pawlicki0 1 1 1 14+1
- 5Krzysztof Kasprzak1 2 2 3 3 W11
- 6Bartosz Zmarzlik2 1 0 2 38+1
- 7Adrian Cyfer1 01+1
Heat by heat
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR3
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR2
- Martin Vaculik · TOR1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GOR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR1*
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Matej Zagar · GOR2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR0
- Greg Hancock · TOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GOR0
- Greg Hancock · TOR3
- Matej Zagar · GOR2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR1*
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Martin Vaculik · TOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR1*
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR0
- Greg Hancock · TOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR1*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Martin Vaculik · TOR3
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR1
- Matej Zagar · GOR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1*
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR0
- Greg Hancock · TOR3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR2
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR1
- Matej Zagar · GOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR1*
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Martin Vaculik · TOR2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR1
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Martin Vaculik · TOR2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Greg Hancock · TOR3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 21 → 15 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 5 km/h SW
- gusts up to 25 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.8 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 63 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| TOR | GOR | TOR | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Hancock | 5 | 10.2 | 15 | +4.8 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 7.5 | 11 | +3.5 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 7.7 | 11 | +3.3 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 6 | 10.7 | 12 | +1.3 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 4 | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 6 | 10.2 | 11 | +0.8 |
| Adrian Cyfer | 2 | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 4 | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 4 | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
| Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński | 3 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 2 | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Matej Zagar | 4 | 6.5 | 4 | -2.5 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 11.4 | 8 | -3.4 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 7.5 | 4 | -3.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.