LES vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Thursday, August 11, 2016 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Piotr Pawlicki2 1 0 03
- 10Peter Kildemand1 3 3 M 29+1
- 11Grzegorz Zengota0 1 1 2 15+2
- 12Emil Sajfutdinow3 2 3 3 213
- 13Nicki Pedersen3 3 1 1 08
- 14Dominik Kubera3 1 15
- 15Bartosz Smektała1 1 02
- 1Patryk Dudek3 3 2 3 W 112+1
- 2Oleksandr Loktayev0 00
- 3Jason Doyle1 2 3 2 2 313+2
- 4Andriy Karpov2 D 1 2 05+1
- 5Piotr Protasiewicz2 2 2 1 310+1
- 6Krystian Pieszczek2 0 35
- 7Sebastian Niedźwiedź0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Peter Kildemand · LES1*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIE0
- Dominik Kubera · LES3
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE2
- Jason Doyle · ZIE1*
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES0
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIE0
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Jason Doyle · ZIE2
- Dominik Kubera · LES1
- Andriy Karpov · ZIED
- Peter Kildemand · LES3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE0
- Jason Doyle · ZIE3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2*
- Nicki Pedersen · LES1
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Peter Kildemand · LES3
- Jason Doyle · ZIE2
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE1*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Jason Doyle · ZIE2*
- Nicki Pedersen · LES1
- Peter Kildemand · LESM
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Dominik Kubera · LES1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Peter Kildemand · LES2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1*
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE0
- Jason Doyle · ZIE3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Nicki Pedersen · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 17 → 12 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 9 km/h W
- gusts up to 31 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 58 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| LES | ZIE | LES | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 8.6 | 13 | +4.4 |
| Dominik Kubera | 3 | 2.4 | 5 | +2.6 |
| Peter Kildemand | 5 | 6.5 | 9 | +2.5 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 8.5 | 10 | +1.5 |
| Jason Doyle | 6 | 12.0 | 13 | +1.0 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 3 | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| Patryk Dudek | 6 | 12.3 | 12 | -0.3 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 3 | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Andriy Karpov | 5 | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 8.6 | 8 | -0.6 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 2 | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Sebastian Niedźwiedź | 3 | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 7.9 | 5 | -2.9 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 4 | 7.2 | 3 | -4.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.