TOR vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 26, 2016 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Martin Vaculik3 3 1 D 07
- 10Kacper Gomolski0 1 01
- 11Chris Holder3 3 2 3 314+1
- 12Adrian Miedziński0 0 3 W3
- 13Greg Hancock3 3 2 2 111
- 14Paweł Przedpełski3 1 1 2 310+2
- 15Norbert Krakowiak1 0 12+1
- 1Piotr Pawlicki2 1 3 0 1 29+1
- 2Peter Kildemand1 2 03+1
- 3Emil Sajfutdinow1 2 3 3 211+1
- 4Nicki Pedersen2 D 2 15+1
- 5Grzegorz Zengota1 2 2 1 3 09+2
- 6Bartosz Smektała2 0 02
- 7Dominik Kubera0 2 02
Heat by heat
- Martin Vaculik · TOR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Peter Kildemand · LES1*
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2
- Norbert Krakowiak · TOR1
- Dominik Kubera · LES0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1*
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
- Greg Hancock · TOR3
- Dominik Kubera · LES2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1*
- Norbert Krakowiak · TOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Peter Kildemand · LES2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1*
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
- Greg Hancock · TOR3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Nicki Pedersen · LESD
- Martin Vaculik · TOR3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR1
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Greg Hancock · TOR2
- Norbert Krakowiak · TOR1*
- Peter Kildemand · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2*
- Martin Vaculik · TOR1
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Dominik Kubera · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Greg Hancock · TOR2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2
- Martin Vaculik · TORD
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Nicki Pedersen · LES1*
- Martin Vaculik · TOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Greg Hancock · TOR1
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Showers
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 19 → 17 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 10 km/h NW
- gusts up to 35 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 1.3 mm
- Possible showers: a second model has the day dry
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 4.6 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 86 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 9 | −1 | +1 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| TOR | LES | TOR | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +5 | 96 % |
| 14 | +5 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Holder | 5 | 7.5 | 14 | +6.5 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 7.0 | 10 | +3.0 |
| Greg Hancock | 5 | 10.0 | 11 | +1.0 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 11.0 | 11 | +0.0 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 3 | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| Dominik Kubera | 3 | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 3 | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 7.7 | 7 | -0.7 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 6 | 10.2 | 9 | -1.2 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 6 | 10.2 | 9 | -1.2 |
| Peter Kildemand | 3 | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 4 | 6.3 | 5 | -1.3 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 3 | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 4 | 5.3 | 3 | -2.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.