LES vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, April 8, 2016 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Piotr Pawlicki2 0 1 14
- 10Tobiasz Musielak0 2 3 1 06
- 11Grzegorz Zengota2 3 1 1 29+1
- 12Peter Kildemand3 2 3 0 19+1
- 13Nicki Pedersen3 3 3 3 012
- 14Dominik KuberaD 0 00
- 15Bartosz Smektała2 0 02
- 1Niels Kristian Iversen3 1 1 27+2
- 2Michael Jepsen Jensen1 0 2 W 36
- 3Matej Zagar0 2 02
- 4Przemysław Pawlicki1 1 2 15+1
- 5Krzysztof Kasprzak1 3 2 2 311+2
- 6Bartosz Zmarzlik3 1 2 3 3 214+1
- 7Adrian Cyfer1 2 03
Heat by heat
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GOR1
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR1
- Dominik Kubera · LESD
- Peter Kildemand · LES3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR1
- Matej Zagar · GOR0
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Peter Kildemand · LES2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GOR0
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Matej Zagar · GOR2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR1*
- Dominik Kubera · LES0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES2
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES0
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GOR2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR1*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Matej Zagar · GOR0
- Peter Kildemand · LES3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR0
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES1
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Dominik Kubera · LES0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Peter Kildemand · LES0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GOR3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR1
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2*
- Peter Kildemand · LES1
- Nicki Pedersen · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 12 → 9 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 5 km/h SE
- gusts up to 14 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 55 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14–15 | 3 | 9 | −6 | +6 | |
| LES | GOR | LES | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | 0 | 56 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 4.3 | 11 | +6.7 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 4.6 | 6 | +1.4 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 10.6 | 12 | +1.4 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 8.3 | 9 | +0.7 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 6 | 13.5 | 14 | +0.5 |
| Peter Kildemand | 5 | 8.8 | 9 | +0.2 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 3 | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 6.3 | 6 | -0.3 |
| Adrian Cyfer | 3 | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 4 | 7.6 | 7 | -0.6 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 4 | 5.8 | 5 | -0.8 |
| Dominik Kubera | 3 | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Matej Zagar | 3 | 5.0 | 2 | -3.0 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 4 | 7.6 | 4 | -3.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.