WRO vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 21, 2015 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław
Results
- 9Tai Woffinden3 3 2 1 211+1
- 10Vaclav Milik1 1 1 2 16+2
- 11Tomasz Jędrzejak3 1 0 15
- 12Michael Jepsen Jensen2 3 3 2 010+1
- 13Maciej Janowski0 3 3 3 312
- 14Damian Dróżdż1 1 02
- 15Maksym Drabik3 2 05
- 1Jason Doyle2 2 1 1 3 110+1
- 2Kacper Gomolski0 00
- 3Chris Holder1 2 2 0 0 05
- 4Adrian Miedziński0 00
- 5Grigorij Laguta3 0 3 2 3 314
- 6Paweł Przedpełski2 1 2 2 0 29+1
- 7Oskar Fajfer0 11+1
Heat by heat
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2
- Vaclav Milik · WRO1
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR0
- Maksym Drabik · WRO3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Damian Dróżdż · WRO1
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR0
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · WRO2*
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR3
- Maksym Drabik · WRO2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · WRO3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO1
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Damian Dróżdż · WRO1
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Vaclav Milik · WRO1
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Jason Doyle · TOR1*
- Maksym Drabik · WRO0
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Vaclav Milik · WRO1*
- Chris Holder · TOR0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · WRO3
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR2
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR1*
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Vaclav Milik · WRO2*
- Jason Doyle · TOR1
- Chris Holder · TOR0
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2*
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO1
- Damian Dróżdż · WRO0
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · WRO2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Vaclav Milik · WRO1
- Chris Holder · TOR0
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Jason Doyle · TOR1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · WRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 19 → 18 °C
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Wind
- 13 km/h W
- gusts up to 31 km/h
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 50 %
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| WRO | TOR | WRO | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead WRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +16 | 100 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +14 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grigorij Laguta | 6 | 9.8 | 14 | +4.2 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 9.1 | 12 | +2.9 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 7.3 | 10 | +2.7 |
| Vaclav Milik | 5 | 4.3 | 6 | +1.7 |
| Maksym Drabik | 3 | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 6 | 8.8 | 9 | +0.2 |
| Jason Doyle | 6 | 9.9 | 10 | +0.1 |
| Damian Dróżdż | 3 | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 11.8 | 11 | -0.8 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 2 | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Tomasz Jędrzejak | 4 | 6.2 | 5 | -1.2 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 2 | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 2 | 3.1 | 0 | -3.1 |
| Chris Holder | 6 | 10.1 | 5 | -5.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.