TOR vs GOR

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 19, 2015 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń

Results

TOR 56 : 33 GOR
TOR
GOR

Heat by heat

Heat 158.91 s3:3
Heat 258.32 s4:2
Heat 359.09 s2:3
Heat 458.63 s4:2
Heat 558.97 s5:1
Heat 658.50 s4:2
Heat 758.09 s5:1
Heat 858.66 s5:1
Heat 958.72 s3:3
Heat 1059.09 s3:3
Heat 1159.38 s3:3
Heat 1259.65 s2:4
Heat 1359.56 s5:1
Heat 1460.15 s3:3
Heat 1558.78 s5:1

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Rain
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature
27 → 20 °C
Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Wind
10 km/h S
gusts up to 50 km/h
Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Rain during the meeting
16.8 mm
Rain likely: a second model agrees
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before
3.9 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity
83 %
Measured · Torun, 3 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–41310+3−3
5–7144+10−10
8–10117+4−4
11–13108+2−2
14–1584+4−4
TORGORTORGOR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead TOR
05101520115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1066 %
2+277 %
3+177 %
4+383 %
5+794 %
6+997 %
7+13100 %
8+17100 %
9+17100 %
10+17100 %
11+17100 %
12+15100 %
13+19100 %
14+19100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Chris Holder58.513+4.5
Jason Doyle58.613+4.4
Kacper Gomolski54.98+3.1
Paweł Przedpełski46.79+2.3
Krzysztof Kasprzak66.38+1.7
Matej Zagar611.812+0.2
Oskar Fajfer31.92+0.1
Piotr Świderski32.22-0.2
Grigorij Laguta47.87-0.8
Adrian Cyfer33.22-1.2
Adrian Miedziński45.94-1.9
Tomasz Gapiński32.70-2.7
Niels Kristian Iversen510.46-4.4
Bartosz Zmarzlik49.03-6.0

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 60.1558.09 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 29.0:27.3 outside C + D
Trend ▶ −1.62 towards the outside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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