LES vs RZE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 19, 2015 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Nicki Pedersen2 2 1 38
- 10Grzegorz Zengota1 3 3 2 211+2
- 11Przemysław Pawlicki2 3 3 2 111+2
- 12Emil Sajfutdinow3 2 2 2 09+3
- 13Tobiasz Musielak1 1 02+1
- 14Piotr Pawlicki3 2 3 3 314
- 15Bartosz Smektała1 W 12
- 1Greg Hancock3 T 2 1 1 310
- 2Mirosław Jabłoński0 0 11
- 3Dawid Lampart0 0 00
- 4Karol Baran1 3 W 2 T W6
- 5Peter Kildemand3 W 1 3 D 29+1
- 6Artur CzajaU W0
- 7Krystian Rempała2 2 1 T 0 16+1
Heat by heat
- Greg Hancock · RZE3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1*
- Mirosław Jabłoński · RZE0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Krystian Rempała · RZE2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Artur Czaja · RZEU
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2*
- Karol Baran · RZE1
- Dawid Lampart · RZE0
- Peter Kildemand · RZE3
- Krystian Rempała · RZE2*
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2*
- Krystian Rempała · RZE1
- Mirosław Jabłoński · RZE0
- Karol Baran · RZE3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES1*
- Dawid Lampart · RZE0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Greg Hancock · RZE2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Karol Baran · RZE2
- Nicki Pedersen · LES1
- Dawid Lampart · RZE0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2*
- Peter Kildemand · RZE1
- Peter Kildemand · RZE3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Greg Hancock · RZE1
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2*
- Greg Hancock · RZE1
- Krystian Rempała · RZE0
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2*
- Krystian Rempała · RZE1
- Peter Kildemand · RZED
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2*
- Mirosław Jabłoński · RZE1
- Greg Hancock · RZE3
- Peter Kildemand · RZE2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Showers
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 27 → 20 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 22 km/h W
- gusts up to 46 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.2 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 8.6 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 67 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 4 | +9 | −9 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LES | RZE | LES | RZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +11 | 99 % |
| 8 | +13 | 100 % |
| 9 | +15 | 100 % |
| 10 | +19 | 100 % |
| 11 | +17 | 100 % |
| 12 | +21 | 100 % |
| 13 | +25 | 100 % |
| 14 | +29 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 6.7 | 11 | +4.3 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 7.1 | 11 | +3.9 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 11.7 | 14 | +2.3 |
| Krystian Rempała | 6 | 4.1 | 6 | +1.9 |
| Karol Baran | 5 | 4.8 | 6 | +1.2 |
| Greg Hancock | 5 | 10.1 | 10 | -0.1 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 3 | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 4 | 9.2 | 8 | -1.2 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 10.4 | 9 | -1.4 |
| Mirosław Jabłoński | 3 | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Artur Czaja | 2 | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 3 | 4.3 | 2 | -2.3 |
| Peter Kildemand | 6 | 11.8 | 9 | -2.8 |
| Dawid Lampart | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | -3.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.