WRO vs LES

PGE Ekstraliga · Thursday, June 4, 2015 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław

Results

WRO 57 : 32 LES
WRO
LES

Heat by heat

Heat 161.25 s5:1
Heat 261.05 s3:3
Heat 362.05 s2:4
Heat 462.29 s5:1
Heat 562.49 s5:1
Heat 661.29 s3:3
Heat 761.73 s3:2
Heat 861.62 s4:2
Heat 961.28 s4:2
Heat 1061.10 s5:1
Heat 1162.46 s3:3
Heat 1262.69 s3:3
Heat 1361.60 s3:3
Heat 1461.78 s4:2
Heat 1562.85 s5:1

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Clear
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature
22 °C
Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Wind
8 km/h N
gusts up to 25 km/h
Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity
29 %
Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4159+6−6
5–7116+5−5
8–10135+8−8
11–139900
14–1593+6−6
WROLESWROLES

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead WRO
510152025115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1+485 %
2+486 %
3+277 %
4+690 %
5+1096 %
6+1097 %
7+1199 %
8+13100 %
9+15100 %
10+19100 %
11+19100 %
12+19100 %
13+19100 %
14+21100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Maksym Drabik44.410+5.6
Vaclav Milik53.59+5.5
Tomasz Jędrzejak56.712+5.3
Maciej Janowski58.811+2.2
Bartosz Smektała53.85+1.2
Michael Jepsen Jensen34.15+0.9
Piotr Pawlicki12.52-0.5
Przemysław Pawlicki69.99-0.9
Grzegorz Zengota57.36-1.3
Tai Woffinden511.610-1.6
Adrian Gała32.30-2.3
Tobiasz Musielak33.70-3.7
Nicki Pedersen510.76-4.7
Emil Sajfutdinow510.74-6.7

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 62.8561.05 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 36.3:30.0 outside C + D
Trend ▶ −1.25 towards the outside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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