ZIE vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 31, 2015 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Jarosław Hampel3 3 3 3 1 215
- 10Andreas Jonsson0 00
- 11Oleksandr LoktayevW 2 1 3 2 D8+1
- 12Krzysztof Jabłoński1 0 01
- 13Piotr Protasiewicz3 W 2 1 2 19+2
- 14Alex Zgardziński0 1 01
- 15Krystian Pieszczek2 0 0 02
- 1Tobiasz Musielak1 01+1
- 2Nicki Pedersen2 1 3 1 29+1
- 3Przemysław Pawlicki2 2 1 0 38+3
- 4Grzegorz Zengota3 3 2 2 111+1
- 5Emil Sajfutdinow1 1 3 3 311+1
- 6Bartosz Smektała1 0 12
- 7Piotr Pawlicki3 2 2 2 312+2
Heat by heat
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES1*
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2*
- Krzysztof Jabłoński · ZIE1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIEW
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1*
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE0
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIE2*
- Nicki Pedersen · LES1
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2*
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE1
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE0
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES1*
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIE1
- Krzysztof Jabłoński · ZIE0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIE3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2*
- Nicki Pedersen · LES1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIE2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2*
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE1
- Krzysztof Jabłoński · ZIE0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIED
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 20 → 21 °C
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Wind
- 19 km/h S
- gusts up to 36 km/h
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 34 %
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 3 | 9 | −6 | +6 | |
| ZIE | LES | ZIE | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -6 | 16 % |
| 9 | -6 | 20 % |
| 10 | -10 | 7 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -8 | 7 % |
| 13 | -12 | 0 % |
| 14 | -16 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 6.6 | 11 | +4.4 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 6 | 12.4 | 15 | +2.6 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 9.5 | 12 | +2.5 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 9.7 | 11 | +1.3 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 7.8 | 8 | +0.2 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 6 | 7.9 | 8 | +0.1 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 3 | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 2 | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 4 | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Alex Zgardziński | 3 | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 6 | 10.5 | 9 | -1.5 |
| Krzysztof Jabłoński | 3 | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 10.8 | 9 | -1.8 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 2 | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.