ZIE vs GOR

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 24, 2015 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra

Results

ZIE 48 : 42 GOR

ZIE

9Jarosław HampelW 3 3 3 312
10Andreas Jonsson1 01
11Grzegorz Walasek2 1 2 1 06+3
12Oleksandr Loktayev3 2 3 0 210
13Piotr Protasiewicz3 3 3 W 211+1
14Alex Zgardziński0 2 02+1
15Krystian Pieszczek2 1 0 2 16+1

GOR

1Niels Kristian Iversen3 T 1 3 3 111+1
2Linus Sundstroem2 0 2 2 06+2
3Matej Zagar1 1 13
4Tomasz Gapiński0 0 11+1
5Krzysztof Kasprzak2 2 0 2 17
6Adrian Cyfer1 1 02+1
7Bartosz Zmarzlik3 0 3 1 2 312+1

Heat by heat

Heat 161.86 s1:5

Heat 261.50 s2:4

Heat 361.35 s5:1

Heat 461.60 s4:2

Heat 562.10 s3:3

Heat 661.25 s5:1

Heat 762.06 s3:3

Heat 862.18 s3:3

Heat 962.03 s5:1

Heat 1061.56 s5:1

Heat 1161.91 s1:5

Heat 1261.85 s1:5

Heat 1361.69 s3:3

Heat 1462.72 s2:4

Heat 1562.11 s5:1

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Clear → Partly cloudy; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 21 → 13 °C; Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Wind: 6 km/h NW; gusts up to 11 km/h; Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 45 %; Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	12	12	0	0
5–7	11	7	+4	−4
8–10	13	5	+8	−8
11–13	5	13	−8	+8
14–15	7	5	+2	−2
	ZIE	GOR	ZIE	GOR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead ZIE

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	-4	45 %
2	-6	27 %
3	-2	47 %
4	0	62 %
5	0	64 %
6	+4	82 %
7	+4	82 %
8	+4	83 %
9	+8	94 %
10	+12	100 %
11	+8	95 %
12	+4	86 %
13	+4	91 %
14	+2	77 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Oleksandr Loktayev	5	6.0	10	+4.0
Niels Kristian Iversen	5	8.8	11	+2.2
Krystian Pieszczek	5	4.0	6	+2.0
Piotr Protasiewicz	5	9.5	11	+1.5
Jarosław Hampel	5	11.0	12	+1.0
Linus Sundstroem	5	5.5	6	+0.5
Alex Zgardziński	3	1.9	2	+0.1
Krzysztof Kasprzak	5	7.2	7	-0.2
Adrian Cyfer	3	2.7	2	-0.7
Grzegorz Walasek	5	7.7	6	-1.7
Bartosz Zmarzlik	6	13.7	12	-1.7
Andreas Jonsson	2	3.2	1	-2.2
Matej Zagar	3	5.4	3	-2.4
Tomasz Gapiński	3	3.4	1	-2.4

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 62.7261.25 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 35.0:30.3 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −1.00 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source