LES vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 24, 2015 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Nicki PedersenD 3 3 1 29
- 11Przemysław Pawlicki3 1 1 2 2 110+2
- 12Grzegorz Zengota0 2 1 3 17+2
- 13Emil Sajfutdinow3 3 2 3 213
- 14Piotr Pawlicki1 1 1 2 W T5+1
- 15Bartosz Smektała0 0 00
- 1Jason Doyle3 3 1 3 313
- 2Adrian Miedziński2 0 3 16+1
- 3Chris Holder2 2 1 2 07
- 4Kacper Gomolski1 0 2 03+1
- 5Grigorij Laguta2 2 3 0 T7
- 6Paweł Przedpełski2 0 0 1 36+1
- 7Oskar Fajfer3 1 04+1
Heat by heat
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Nicki Pedersen · LESD
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR1*
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR2
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR1*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES1*
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR0
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Jason Doyle · TOR1
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2*
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1*
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR2
- Nicki Pedersen · LES1
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1*
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR0
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES1*
- Chris Holder · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 20 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 2 km/h S
- gusts up to 13 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 39 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 8 | 16 | −8 | +8 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LES | TOR | LES | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -8 | 11 % |
| 3 | -8 | 13 % |
| 4 | -8 | 15 % |
| 5 | -8 | 18 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -6 | 16 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | -4 | 20 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 6.4 | 13 | +6.6 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 10.0 | 13 | +3.0 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 3 | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 6 | 9.4 | 10 | +0.6 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 6.4 | 7 | +0.6 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 6.9 | 7 | +0.1 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 4 | 6.1 | 6 | -0.1 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 4 | 7.3 | 7 | -0.3 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 4 | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 6.8 | 6 | -0.8 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 3 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 11.4 | 9 | -2.4 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 6 | 10.8 | 5 | -5.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.