TOR vs RZE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 10, 2015 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Grigorij Laguta3 1 2 1 310+1
- 11Chris Holder3 3 2 1 110+1
- 12Kacper Gomolski1 2 3 2 08+1
- 13Jason Doyle1 1 2 1 27+3
- 14Oskar Fajfer0 2 0 1 W3+2
- 15Paweł Przedpełski3 2 2 1 210+1
- 1Kenni Larsen2 1 0 3 17
- 2Mirosław Jabłoński1 01+1
- 3Dawid Lampart0 2 0 02+1
- 4Greg Hancock2 3 3 3 3 216+1
- 5Peter Kildemand3 3 3 W W 312
- 6Artur Czaja0 0 2 02+1
- 7Krystian Rempała1 0 12
Heat by heat
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR3
- Kenni Larsen · RZE2
- Mirosław Jabłoński · RZE1*
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR2*
- Krystian Rempała · RZE1
- Artur Czaja · RZE0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Greg Hancock · RZE2
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR1
- Dawid Lampart · RZE0
- Peter Kildemand · RZE3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Jason Doyle · TOR1*
- Krystian Rempała · RZE0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR2*
- Kenni Larsen · RZE1
- Mirosław Jabłoński · RZE0
- Greg Hancock · RZE3
- Dawid Lampart · RZE2*
- Jason Doyle · TOR1
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR0
- Peter Kildemand · RZE3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR1*
- Artur Czaja · RZE0
- Peter Kildemand · RZE3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1*
- Kenni Larsen · RZE0
- Greg Hancock · RZE3
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR2
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR1*
- Dawid Lampart · RZE0
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2*
- Krystian Rempała · RZE1
- Greg Hancock · RZE3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Jason Doyle · TOR1*
- Dawid Lampart · RZE0
- Kenni Larsen · RZE3
- Artur Czaja · RZE2*
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Greg Hancock · RZE3
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR2
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR1
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2*
- Kenni Larsen · RZE1
- Artur Czaja · RZE0
- Peter Kildemand · RZE3
- Greg Hancock · RZE2*
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 11 → 9 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 10 km/h W
- gusts up to 48 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.4 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 83 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| TOR | RZE | TOR | RZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Hancock | 6 | 13.1 | 16 | +2.9 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 5 | 6.1 | 8 | +1.9 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 8.4 | 10 | +1.6 |
| Peter Kildemand | 6 | 10.7 | 12 | +1.3 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 9.0 | 10 | +1.0 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 5 | 9.8 | 10 | +0.2 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 7.0 | 7 | -0.0 |
| Krystian Rempała | 3 | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Mirosław Jabłoński | 2 | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Artur Czaja | 4 | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Dawid Lampart | 4 | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
| Kenni Larsen | 5 | 9.0 | 7 | -2.0 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 5.3 | 3 | -2.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.