GOR vs LES

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 10, 2015 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski

Results

GOR 38 : 51 LES

GOR

9Krzysztof Kasprzak1 1 1 03+1
10Linus Sundstroem0 2 D2
11Matej Zagar1 2 1 04+1
12Tomasz Gapiński0 3 0 14
13Niels Kristian Iversen1 3 1 3 1 W9+2
14Adrian Cyfer1 1 13
15Bartosz Zmarzlik3 2 3 0 2 313

LES

1Nicki Pedersen3 1 2 3 211
2Tomas H Jonasson2 0 0 1 25+3
3Tobiasz Musielak2 W2+1
4Przemysław Pawlicki3 2 3 3 W11
5Emil Sajfutdinow0 3 3 0 39
6Bartosz Smektała0 0 22+1
7Piotr Pawlicki2 3 2 2 211+2

Heat by heat

Heat 161.09 s1:5

Heat 261.00 s4:2

Heat 360.91 s1:5

Heat 460.75 s3:3

Heat 561.25 s5:1

Heat 661.12 s4:2

Heat 761.33 s3:3

Heat 861.30 s4:2

Heat 961.52 s1:5

Heat 1061.12 s1:5

Heat 1161.66 s3:3

Heat 1261.99 s1:5

Nicki Pedersen · LES3
Bartosz Smektała · LES2*
Adrian Cyfer · GOR1
Matej Zagar · GOR0

Heat 1361.77 s3:3

Heat 1461.59 s1:5

Heat 1561.89 s3:2

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Cloudy → Partly cloudy; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 11 → 9 °C; Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Wind: 6 km/h W; gusts up to 41 km/h; Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 2 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 78 %; Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	9	15	−6	+6
5–7	12	6	+6	−6
8–10	6	12	−6	+6
11–13	7	11	−4	+4
14–15	4	7	−3	+3
	GOR	LES	GOR	LES

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead GOR

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	-4	45 %
2	-2	54 %
3	-6	32 %
4	-6	23 %
5	-2	47 %
6	0	66 %
7	0	60 %
8	+2	71 %
9	-2	44 %
10	-6	15 %
11	-6	12 %
12	-10	1 %
13	-10	1 %
14	-14	0 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Przemysław Pawlicki	5	6.6	11	+4.4
Piotr Pawlicki	5	8.4	11	+2.6
Bartosz Zmarzlik	6	10.7	13	+2.3
Nicki Pedersen	5	10.3	11	+0.7
Tomasz Gapiński	4	3.3	4	+0.7
Niels Kristian Iversen	6	8.7	9	+0.3
Adrian Cyfer	3	2.7	3	+0.3
Bartosz Smektała	3	2.0	2	-0.0
Emil Sajfutdinow	5	9.4	9	-0.4
Linus Sundstroem	3	3.1	2	-1.1
Tobiasz Musielak	2	3.3	2	-1.3
Tomas H Jonasson	5	6.6	5	-1.6
Matej Zagar	4	6.9	4	-2.9
Krzysztof Kasprzak	4	7.8	3	-4.8

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 61.9960.75 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 31.0:25.3 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −0.18

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source