TOR vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 12, 2015 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Grigorij LagutaM 2 2 2 28+2
- 10Dawid Krzyżanowski00
- 11Chris Holder2 1 3 2 311
- 12Kacper Gomolski1 0 2 03+2
- 13Jason Doyle2 D 3 2 3 111+1
- 14Oskar Fajfer1 0 2 0 03
- 15Paweł Przedpełski3 3 3 M9
- 1Tai Woffinden3 3 2 3 W11
- 2Vaclav Milik2 2 1 1 17+2
- 3Tomasz Jędrzejak0 1 1 3 05
- 4Michael Jepsen Jensen3 3 3 3 214
- 5Maciej Janowski1 1 0 13
- 6Maksym Drabik2 0 13
- 7Adrian Gała1 0 12+1
Heat by heat
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Vaclav Milik · WRO2*
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR1
- Grigorij Laguta · TORM
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Maksym Drabik · WRO2
- Adrian Gała · WRO1*
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · WRO3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR1*
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Adrian Gała · WRO0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Vaclav Milik · WRO2*
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · WRO3
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR2
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO1
- Jason Doyle · TORD
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR2*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Maksym Drabik · WRO0
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Vaclav Milik · WRO1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TORM
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · WRO3
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR2
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO1
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR2*
- Adrian Gała · WRO1
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2
- Vaclav Milik · WRO1
- Dawid Krzyżanowski · TOR0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Maksym Drabik · WRO1
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · WRO3
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR0
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR2*
- Vaclav Milik · WRO1
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · WRO2
- Jason Doyle · TOR1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 12 → 8 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h SW
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 42 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| TOR | WRO | TOR | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | -4 | 20 % |
| 13 | -6 | 4 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 7.0 | 14 | +7.0 |
| Vaclav Milik | 5 | 4.1 | 7 | +2.9 |
| Jason Doyle | 6 | 8.5 | 11 | +2.5 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 9.2 | 11 | +1.8 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 4 | 7.3 | 9 | +1.7 |
| Maksym Drabik | 3 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Adrian Gała | 3 | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 11.2 | 11 | -0.2 |
| Dawid Krzyżanowski | 1 | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 4 | 5.4 | 3 | -2.4 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 5.6 | 3 | -2.6 |
| Tomasz Jędrzejak | 5 | 7.6 | 5 | -2.6 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 5 | 10.9 | 8 | -2.9 |
| Maciej Janowski | 4 | 7.1 | 3 | -4.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.