LES vs WRO

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 27, 2015 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno

Results

LES 45 : 45 WRO

LES

9Nicki Pedersen2 2 3 0 310
10Tobiasz Musielak1 0 23+2
11Przemysław Pawlicki1 0 1 02+1
12Emil Sajfutdinow3 1 2 39
13Grzegorz Zengota1 2 2 3 210
14Piotr Pawlicki1 0 1 2 15
15Dominik Kubera3 3 0 06

WRO

1Tai Woffinden3 3 3 3 315
3Tomasz Jędrzejak2 3 W 0 05
4Michael Jepsen Jensen0 1 1 1 25+1
5Maciej Janowski2 2 3 3 2 113+1
6Maksym Drabik2 1 1 2 17
7Adrian Gała0 0 0 00

Heat by heat

Heat 160.56 s3:3

Heat 261.69 s4:2

Heat 360.20 s4:2

Heat 460.71 s4:2

Heat 561.08 s1:5

Heat 660.75 s2:4

Heat 761.00 s2:4

Heat 860.94 s2:4

Heat 961.47 s5:1

Heat 1061.57 s3:3

Heat 1161.75 s4:2

Heat 1262.03 s2:4

Heat 1361.54 s3:3

Heat 1461.29 s4:2

Heat 1561.88 s2:4

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Partly cloudy; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 14 → 11 °C; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Wind: 11 km/h N; gusts up to 22 km/h; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 59 %; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	15	9	+6	−6
5–7	5	13	−8	+8
8–10	10	8	+2	−2
11–13	9	9	0	0
14–15	6	6	0	0
	LES	WRO	LES	WRO

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead LES

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	0	66 %
2	+2	77 %
3	+4	82 %
4	+6	90 %
5	+2	69 %
6	0	66 %
7	-2	46 %
8	-4	35 %
9	0	56 %
10	0	56 %
11	+2	68 %
12	0	57 %
13	0	56 %
14	+2	77 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Tai Woffinden	5	10.8	15	+4.2
Dominik Kubera	4	2.7	6	+3.3
Maciej Janowski	6	10.6	13	+2.4
Grzegorz Zengota	5	8.2	10	+1.8
Tomasz Jędrzejak	5	4.2	5	+0.8
Nicki Pedersen	5	9.3	10	+0.7
Tobiasz Musielak	3	3.2	3	-0.2
Maksym Drabik	5	7.3	7	-0.3
Emil Sajfutdinow	4	9.3	9	-0.3
Michael Jepsen Jensen	5	6.3	5	-1.3
Adrian Gała	4	2.0	0	-2.0
Przemysław Pawlicki	4	4.9	2	-2.9
Piotr Pawlicki	5	11.1	5	-6.1

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 62.0360.20 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 34.3:26.3 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −3.93 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source