WRO vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 20, 2015 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław
Results
- 9Tai Woffinden2 T 2 2 3 312
- 10Vaclav Milik0 W 00
- 11Tomasz Jędrzejak1 0 1 1 03+1
- 12Michael Jepsen JensenW 1 01
- 13Maciej Janowski3 3 1 3 3 013+1
- 14Damian Dróżdż1 12
- 15Maksym Drabik3 T 1 2 2 210
- 1Nicki Pedersen3 2 3 W 311+1
- 2Tobiasz Musielak1 3 0 2 17
- 3Przemysław Pawlicki2 0 1 03+1
- 4Emil Sajfutdinow3 2 3 210
- 5Grzegorz Zengota2 3 3 1 211+1
- 6Piotr Pawlicki2 1 2 16+1
- 7Bartosz Smektała0 1 01
Heat by heat
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES1
- Vaclav Milik · WRO0
- Maksym Drabik · WRO3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Damian Dróżdż · WRO1
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2*
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · WROW
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · WRO1
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Maksym Drabik · WRO1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Maksym Drabik · WRO2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Maksym Drabik · WRO2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1*
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES1
- Vaclav Milik · WRO0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO1*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES2
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Damian Dróżdż · WRO1
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · WRO0
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Maksym Drabik · WRO2
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES1
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 13 → 11 °C
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h W
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 73 %
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| WRO | LES | WRO | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead WRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -8 | 18 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -8 | 13 % |
| 8 | -8 | 12 % |
| 9 | -10 | 2 % |
| 10 | -10 | 7 % |
| 11 | -8 | 8 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -6 | 4 % |
| 14 | -8 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 6.6 | 11 | +4.4 |
| Maciej Janowski | 6 | 10.5 | 13 | +2.5 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 4.8 | 7 | +2.2 |
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 10.2 | 12 | +1.8 |
| Maksym Drabik | 6 | 9.0 | 10 | +1.0 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 10.1 | 11 | +0.9 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 4 | 9.3 | 10 | +0.7 |
| Damian Dróżdż | 2 | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 3 | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Vaclav Milik | 3 | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Tomasz Jędrzejak | 5 | 5.3 | 3 | -2.3 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 4 | 5.9 | 3 | -2.9 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 3 | 4.0 | 1 | -3.0 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 4 | 9.0 | 6 | -3.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.