LES vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 13, 2015 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Nicki Pedersen2 2 3 3 313
- 10Tobiasz Musielak1 0 01+1
- 11Przemysław Pawlicki0 3 0 03
- 12Emil Sajfutdinow3 2 3 2 212+3
- 13Grzegorz Zengota3 0 2 3 210+1
- 14Piotr Pawlicki3 3 2 3 314+1
- 15Bartosz Smektała0 0 00
- 1Adrian Miedziński0 D 1 23
- 3Chris Holder1 1 1 2 16+2
- 4Jason Doyle2 2 0 04
- 5Grigorij Laguta2 3 2 1 1 D9
- 6Paweł Przedpełski3 1 1 3 1 09+2
- 7Oskar Fajfer2 1 1 1 16+3
Heat by heat
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES1*
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR2
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR1*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2*
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR1
- Adrian Miedziński · TORD
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1*
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES0
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2*
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Jason Doyle · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR2
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR1*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR1*
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES0
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2*
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR1
- Jason Doyle · TOR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2*
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2*
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Grigorij Laguta · TORD
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 22 → 19 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 19 km/h SE
- gusts up to 35 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 60 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 10 | 2 | +8 | −8 | |
| LES | TOR | LES | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 7.5 | 13 | +5.5 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 10.4 | 14 | +3.6 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 7.1 | 10 | +2.9 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 4.2 | 6 | +1.8 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 11.4 | 12 | +0.6 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 6 | 9.5 | 9 | -0.5 |
| Jason Doyle | 4 | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 7.7 | 6 | -1.7 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 3 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 3 | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 6 | 11.1 | 9 | -2.1 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 4 | 5.3 | 3 | -2.3 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 4 | 6.1 | 3 | -3.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.