TOR vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 6, 2015 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Chris Holder2 3 3 2 U10
- 10Kacper Gomolski1 2 W W3+2
- 11Adrian Miedziński1 2 0 3 17+1
- 12Grigorij Laguta3 1 3 1 19+2
- 13Jason Doyle0 11
- 14Oskar Fajfer2 3 1 28+1
- 15Paweł Przedpełski1 3 3 2 211+1
- 1Nicki Pedersen3 0 2 1 28+1
- 2Tomas H Jonasson0 3 03
- 3Przemysław Pawlicki0 W0
- 4Emil Sajfutdinow2 2 2 3 3 315
- 5Grzegorz Zengota2 0 1 0 03+1
- 6Bartosz Smektała0 1 01
- 7Piotr Pawlicki3 1 1 2 1 311+1
Heat by heat
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR1*
- Tomas H Jonasson · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1*
- Jason Doyle · TOR0
- Tomas H Jonasson · LES3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR1*
- Nicki Pedersen · LES0
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Jason Doyle · TOR1
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR2*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR1
- Tomas H Jonasson · LES0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1*
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Kacper Gomolski · TORW
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR2*
- Nicki Pedersen · LES1
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR1*
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1*
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2*
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR1
- Chris Holder · TORU
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Rain → Showers
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 12 → 11 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 11 km/h W
- gusts up to 44 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 1.5 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 4.7 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 93 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| TOR | LES | TOR | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oskar Fajfer | 4 | 3.0 | 8 | +5.0 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 8.3 | 11 | +2.7 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 6 | 12.7 | 15 | +2.3 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 5 | 7.0 | 9 | +2.0 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 8.5 | 10 | +1.5 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 6.3 | 7 | +0.7 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 4 | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Tomas H Jonasson | 3 | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 9.2 | 8 | -1.2 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 3 | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Jason Doyle | 2 | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 6 | 13.4 | 11 | -2.4 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 6.4 | 3 | -3.4 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 2 | 3.4 | 0 | -3.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.