LES vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 23, 2015 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Nicki Pedersen2 D 0 13
- 10Tobiasz Musielak1 3 1 0 05+1
- 11Przemysław Pawlicki2 1 3 2 210+1
- 12Emil Sajfutdinow3 3 1 3 313
- 13Grzegorz Zengota3 3 3 3 113
- 14Dominik Kubera0 0 00
- 15Bartosz Smektała1 1 02
- 1Tai Woffinden3 2 2 3 212
- 2Vaclav Milik0 00
- 3Tomasz Jędrzejak1 1 3 2 07+1
- 4Michael Jepsen Jensen0 2 2 2 39+1
- 5Maciej Janowski2 1 2 W 16
- 6Maksym Drabik3 2 1 1 18+2
- 7Adrian Gała2 0 02+1
Heat by heat
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES1*
- Vaclav Milik · WRO0
- Maksym Drabik · WRO3
- Adrian Gała · WRO2*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Dominik Kubera · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2*
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · WRO0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Adrian Gała · WRO0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES1
- Vaclav Milik · WRO0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · WRO2
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO1*
- Dominik Kubera · LES0
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES3
- Maksym Drabik · WRO2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Nicki Pedersen · LESD
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Maksym Drabik · WRO1*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · WRO2*
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES1
- Nicki Pedersen · LES0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1
- Adrian Gała · WRO0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO2
- Maksym Drabik · WRO1*
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2
- Maksym Drabik · WRO1
- Dominik Kubera · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · WRO2
- Nicki Pedersen · LES1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · WRO3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 26 → 25 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 18 km/h SE
- gusts up to 40 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 31 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LES | WRO | LES | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 7.7 | 13 | +5.3 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 10.6 | 13 | +2.4 |
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 9.9 | 12 | +2.1 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 7.1 | 9 | +1.9 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 8.6 | 10 | +1.4 |
| Tomasz Jędrzejak | 5 | 5.6 | 7 | +1.4 |
| Adrian Gała | 3 | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| Maksym Drabik | 5 | 8.2 | 8 | -0.2 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 5.6 | 5 | -0.6 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 3 | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Vaclav Milik | 2 | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Dominik Kubera | 3 | 2.9 | 0 | -2.9 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 10.3 | 6 | -4.3 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 4 | 7.4 | 3 | -4.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.