LES vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, August 14, 2015 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Tobiasz Musielak1 2 03
- 10Tomas H Jonasson3 1 1 2 07+1
- 11Przemysław Pawlicki2 1 2 1 39+2
- 12Emil Sajfutdinow1 2 3 3 110+1
- 13Grzegorz Zengota3 2 W 16+1
- 14Piotr Pawlicki3 1 3 T 29+2
- 15Bartosz Smektała1 1 1 14
- 1Andreas Jonsson2 0 0 2 04
- 3Patryk Dudek0 3 2 2 3 1 314+2
- 4Darcy Ward3 3 0 3 3 2 216+1
- 5Piotr ProtasiewiczW 2 3 1 D6
- 6Krystian Pieszczek0 0 00
- 7Alex Zgardziński2 0 02
Heat by heat
- Tomas H Jonasson · LES3
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE2
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE0
- Darcy Ward · ZIE3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1*
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE0
- Darcy Ward · ZIE3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES1*
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1*
- Darcy Ward · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES2
- Tomas H Jonasson · LES1*
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE0
- Darcy Ward · ZIE3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Darcy Ward · ZIE3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2*
- Tomas H Jonasson · LES1
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Tomas H Jonasson · LES2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1*
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES1
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Darcy Ward · ZIE2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIED
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2*
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Darcy Ward · ZIE2*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1
- Tomas H Jonasson · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 32 → 28 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 18 km/h E
- gusts up to 36 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 42 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LES | ZIE | LES | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patryk Dudek | 7 | 6.8 | 14 | +7.2 |
| Darcy Ward | 7 | 14.0 | 16 | +2.0 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 7.5 | 9 | +1.5 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 4 | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 4 | 5.7 | 6 | +0.3 |
| Alex Zgardziński | 3 | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| Tomas H Jonasson | 5 | 7.1 | 7 | -0.1 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 10.1 | 10 | -0.1 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 3 | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 4 | 9.3 | 9 | -0.3 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 5 | 7.2 | 4 | -3.2 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 11.3 | 6 | -5.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.