GOR vs WRO

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 16, 2015 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski

Results

GOR 50 : 40 WRO
GOR
WRO

Heat by heat

Heat 160.71 s3:3
Heat 260.94 s4:2
Heat 360.83 s5:1
Heat 461.12 s3:3
Heat 560.79 s4:2
Heat 661.81 s3:3
Heat 761.56 s5:1
Heat 861.44 s2:4
Heat 961.75 s5:1
Heat 1061.25 s4:2
Heat 1161.44 s2:4
Heat 1261.15 s3:3
Heat 1361.54 s3:3
Heat 1461.78 s1:5
Heat 1562.25 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Rain → Cloudy
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature
30 → 27 °C
Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Wind
10 km/h E
gusts up to 31 km/h
Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before
2.7 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity
49 %
Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4159+6−6
5–7126+6−6
8–10117+4−4
11–13810−2+2
14–1548−4+4
GORWROGORWRO

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead GOR
051015115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1066 %
2+277 %
3+690 %
4+690 %
5+894 %
6+895 %
7+1299 %
8+1098 %
9+14100 %
10+16100 %
11+14100 %
12+14100 %
13+14100 %
14+10100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Tomasz Gapiński54.511+6.5
Linus Sundstroem54.88+3.2
Tai Woffinden612.315+2.7
Maksym Drabik67.89+1.2
Matej Zagar510.311+0.7
Krzysztof Kasprzak43.74+0.3
Adrian Cyfer32.82-0.8
Niels Kristian Iversen47.97-0.9
Adrian Gała21.10-1.1
Vaclav Milik21.80-1.8
Bartosz Zmarzlik49.17-2.1
Michael Jepsen Jensen69.37-2.3
Maciej Janowski510.78-2.7
Tomasz Jędrzejak34.01-3.0

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 62.2560.71 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 37.7:25.0 outside C + D
Trend ▶ −3.40 towards the outside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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