TOR vs LES

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 9, 2015 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń

Results

TOR 44 : 46 LES

TOR

9Grigorij Laguta2 2 2 3 110+2
10Kacper Gomolski1 3 0 W4
11Chris Holder3 1 1 2 29+1
12Adrian Miedziński0 3 0 1 15+1
13Jason Doyle1 1 13+1
14Dawid Krzyżanowski0 U0
15Paweł Przedpełski2 2 3 1 3 213

LES

1Nicki Pedersen3 D W W3
2Tomas H JonassonW 2 2 04
3Przemysław Pawlicki2 2 1 3 08+1
4Emil Sajfutdinow1 3 3 2 312+1
5Grzegorz Zengota0 1 2 W3+1
6Bartosz Smektała1 0 12
7Piotr Pawlicki3 3 3 2 314+1

Heat by heat

Heat 158.28 s3:3

Heat 257.91 s2:4

Heat 357.88 s3:3

Heat 458.15 s3:3

Heat 558.42 s4:2

Heat 658.04 s1:5

Heat 759.20 s5:1

Heat 859.13 s4:2

Heat 958.41 s2:4

Heat 1058.87 s1:5

Heat 1160.15 s1:5

Heat 1260.02 s5:1

Heat 1359.60 s4:2

Heat 1460.23 s3:3

Heat 1559.63 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Partly cloudy → Clear; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 27 → 21 °C; Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Wind: 8 km/h NE; gusts up to 27 km/h; Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0.8 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 63 %; Measured · Torun, 3 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	11	13	−2	+2
5–7	10	8	+2	−2
8–10	7	11	−4	+4
11–13	10	8	+2	−2
14–15	6	6	0	0
	TOR	LES	TOR	LES

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead TOR

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	0	66 %
2	-2	54 %
3	-2	47 %
4	-2	46 %
5	0	64 %
6	-4	33 %
7	0	60 %
8	+2	71 %
9	0	56 %
10	-4	22 %
11	-8	8 %
12	-4	20 %
13	-2	33 %
14	-2	23 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Paweł Przedpełski	6	8.1	13	+4.9
Piotr Pawlicki	5	10.9	14	+3.1
Emil Sajfutdinow	5	10.2	12	+1.8
Grigorij Laguta	5	8.3	10	+1.7
Przemysław Pawlicki	5	6.7	8	+1.3
Chris Holder	5	8.6	9	+0.4
Bartosz Smektała	3	2.0	2	+0.0
Kacper Gomolski	4	4.0	4	-0.0
Tomas H Jonasson	4	4.8	4	-0.8
Adrian Miedziński	5	6.2	5	-1.2
Dawid Krzyżanowski	2	1.3	0	-1.3
Grzegorz Zengota	4	5.0	3	-2.0
Jason Doyle	3	5.3	3	-2.3
Nicki Pedersen	4	8.8	3	-5.8

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 60.2357.88 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 35.7:27.0 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −1.43 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source