GOR vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 9, 2015 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Niels Kristian Iversen2 2 2 3 110+1
- 10Linus Sundstroem1 1 02+2
- 11Matej Zagar2 2 2 2 210+1
- 12Tomasz Gapiński3 1 1 1 06+1
- 13Krzysztof Kasprzak0 0 1 23+1
- 14Adrian Cyfer2 1 03+1
- 15Bartosz Zmarzlik3 2 3 3 314
- 1Grzegorz Walasek0 W 0 D0
- 3Patryk Dudek0 2 2 1 1 17+2
- 4Andreas Jonsson3 1 3 3 D 2 012
- 5Darcy Ward3 3 3 3 3 2 320
- 6Krystian Pieszczek1 1 0 13
- 7Alex ZgardzińskiW 00
Heat by heat
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR2
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR1*
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR2*
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE1
- Tomasz Gapiński · GOR3
- Matej Zagar · GOR2*
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
- Darcy Ward · ZIE3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR0
- Darcy Ward · ZIE3
- Matej Zagar · GOR2
- Tomasz Gapiński · GOR1
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIEW
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2*
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR0
- Darcy Ward · ZIE3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR2
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR1*
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE0
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR0
- Darcy Ward · ZIE3
- Matej Zagar · GOR2
- Tomasz Gapiński · GOR1*
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2*
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIED
- Darcy Ward · ZIE3
- Matej Zagar · GOR2
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE1
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR3
- Darcy Ward · ZIE2
- Tomasz Gapiński · GOR1
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIED
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1*
- Tomasz Gapiński · GOR0
- Darcy Ward · ZIE3
- Matej Zagar · GOR2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR1*
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 28 → 26 °C
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h NE
- gusts up to 29 km/h
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 49 %
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| GOR | ZIE | GOR | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darcy Ward | 7 | 13.7 | 20 | +6.3 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 11.4 | 14 | +2.6 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 7 | 11.3 | 12 | +0.7 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 9.7 | 10 | +0.3 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 10.1 | 10 | -0.1 |
| Adrian Cyfer | 3 | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Patryk Dudek | 6 | 7.3 | 7 | -0.3 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 4 | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| Linus Sundstroem | 3 | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| Alex Zgardziński | 2 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 4 | 4.4 | 3 | -1.4 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 4 | 5.8 | 0 | -5.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.