LES vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 26, 2015 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Nicki Pedersen3 3 3 2 314
- 10Tomas H Jonasson2 0 13+1
- 11Przemysław PawlickiD 0 2 02+1
- 12Emil Sajfutdinow2 3 3 0 08
- 13Grzegorz Zengota3 2 3 0 08
- 14Piotr PawlickiU 1 3 3 310+1
- 15Bartosz Smektała2 D 13
- 1Niels Kristian Iversen1 2 0 2 16+1
- 2Piotr Świderski0 1 2 14+2
- 3Matej Zagar3 3 D 2 1 211
- 4Tomasz Gapiński1 0 2 3 17+1
- 5Krzysztof Kasprzak2 2 15
- 6Bartosz Zmarzlik3 1 1 27+2
- 7Adrian Cyfer1 1 02
Heat by heat
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Tomas H Jonasson · LES2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR1
- Piotr Świderski · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LESU
- Matej Zagar · GOR3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Tomasz Gapiński · GOR1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LESD
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR1
- Bartosz Smektała · LESD
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR2
- Piotr Świderski · GOR1*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES0
- Matej Zagar · GOR3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1*
- Tomasz Gapiński · GOR0
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR1*
- Tomas H Jonasson · LES0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Piotr Świderski · GOR2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR0
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Tomasz Gapiński · GOR2
- Tomas H Jonasson · LES1
- Matej Zagar · GORD
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Matej Zagar · GOR2
- Piotr Świderski · GOR1*
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR2
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR1*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES0
- Tomasz Gapiński · GOR3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2
- Matej Zagar · GOR1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR1*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES0
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Matej Zagar · GOR2
- Tomasz Gapiński · GOR1*
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 20 → 13 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 7 km/h NE
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 49 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LES | GOR | LES | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 3.0 | 7 | +4.0 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 11.3 | 14 | +2.7 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 3 | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| Piotr Świderski | 4 | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 3 | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 7.4 | 8 | +0.6 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 4 | 7.0 | 7 | +0.0 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 10.1 | 10 | -0.1 |
| Matej Zagar | 6 | 11.3 | 11 | -0.3 |
| Tomas H Jonasson | 3 | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 9.3 | 8 | -1.3 |
| Adrian Cyfer | 3 | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 9.3 | 6 | -3.3 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 4 | 5.6 | 2 | -3.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.