TOR vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 28, 2015 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Grigorij Laguta3 3 1 1 19+1
- 10Kacper Gomolski2 1 03+1
- 11Chris Holder3 D W 2 27
- 12Adrian Miedziński2 3 2 2 211+1
- 13Jason Doyle1 3 2 3 09+1
- 14Oskar Fajfer0 0 00
- 15Paweł Przedpełski1 3 3 07
- 1Grzegorz WalasekW0
- 2Oleksandr LoktayevW W W W W W0
- 3Andreas Jonsson0 1 1 2 2 0 17+2
- 5Piotr Protasiewicz2 2 2 3 3 3 318
- 6Krystian Pieszczek2 2 0 W 1 3 311+2
- 7Alex Zgardziński3 03
Heat by heat
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR3
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR2*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIEW
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE3
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE2*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIEW
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Jason Doyle · TOR1
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Chris Holder · TORD
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIEW
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE2
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE1*
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR0
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR1
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2*
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIEW
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE2*
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR1
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE2
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE1*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIEW
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR1*
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE0
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIEW
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE1
- Jason Doyle · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Showers → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 20 → 16 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 8 km/h W
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.2 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 7 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 84 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 7 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 7 | +3 | −3 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 9 | −1 | +1 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 9 | −1 | +1 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| TOR | ZIE | TOR | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +5 | – |
| 2 | +1 | 77 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +9 | 96 % |
| 6 | +9 | 97 % |
| 7 | +11 | 99 % |
| 8 | +15 | 100 % |
| 9 | +11 | 99 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +9 | 98 % |
| 13 | +9 | 100 % |
| 14 | +9 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krystian Pieszczek | 6 | 4.9 | 11 | +6.1 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 7 | 13.6 | 18 | +4.4 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 6.9 | 11 | +4.1 |
| Alex Zgardziński | 3 | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 3 | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 9.1 | 9 | -0.1 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 4 | 7.2 | 7 | -0.2 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 5 | 10.4 | 9 | -1.4 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 8.4 | 7 | -1.4 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 1 | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 3 | 3.5 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 7 | 10.9 | 8 | -2.9 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 6 | 8.8 | 0 | -8.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.