GOR vs TOR

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 17, 2015 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski

Results

GOR 42 : 48 TOR

GOR

9Niels Kristian Iversen3 W 2 3 0 210+1
10Linus Sundstroem1 1 2 15
11Krzysztof Kasprzak1 1 2 1 05
12Tomasz Gapiński0 3 03
13Matej Zagar0 1 12+1
14Adrian Cyfer0 0 D0
15Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 3 2 3 317+1

TOR

1Chris Holder2 2 1 2 07+1
2Kacper GomolskiW 0 00
3Jason Doyle2 3 W 3 19+1
4Adrian Miedziński3 2 16+1
5Grigorij Laguta2 2 3 2 312+1
6Paweł Przedpełski2 3 0 3 210
7Oskar Fajfer1 1 1 14+3

Heat by heat

Heat 159.50 s4:2

Heat 259.78 s3:3

Heat 360.19 s1:5

Heat 459.22 s3:3

Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
Grigorij Laguta · TOR2
Oskar Fajfer · TOR1*
Matej Zagar · GOR0

Heat 560.56 s4:2

Heat 660.59 s1:5

Jason Doyle · TOR3
Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
Matej Zagar · GOR1
Adrian Cyfer · GOR0

Heat 760.31 s1:5

Heat 860.28 s5:1

Heat 960.94 s5:1

Heat 1061.03 s2:4

Heat 1161.25 s3:3

Jason Doyle · TOR3
Linus Sundstroem · GOR2
Matej Zagar · GOR1*
Kacper Gomolski · TOR0

Heat 1261.00 s1:5

Heat 1361.35 s3:3

Heat 1460.94 s4:2

Heat 1560.69 s2:4

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Showers → Cloudy; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 14 → 10 °C; Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Wind: 11 km/h W; gusts up to 47 km/h; Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0.2 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 56 %; Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	11	13	−2	+2
5–7	6	12	−6	+6
8–10	12	6	+6	−6
11–13	7	11	−4	+4
14–15	6	6	0	0
	GOR	TOR	GOR	TOR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead GOR

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	+2	79 %
2	+2	77 %
3	-2	47 %
4	-2	46 %
5	0	64 %
6	-4	33 %
7	-8	13 %
8	-4	35 %
9	0	56 %
10	-2	36 %
11	-2	36 %
12	-6	6 %
13	-6	4 %
14	-4	8 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Bartosz Zmarzlik	6	12.5	17	+4.5
Grigorij Laguta	5	8.6	12	+3.4
Paweł Przedpełski	5	6.9	10	+3.1
Jason Doyle	5	6.4	9	+2.6
Oskar Fajfer	4	2.7	4	+1.3
Adrian Miedziński	3	4.9	6	+1.1
Linus Sundstroem	4	4.6	5	+0.4
Tomasz Gapiński	3	3.2	3	-0.2
Niels Kristian Iversen	6	10.4	10	-0.4
Chris Holder	5	8.0	7	-1.0
Adrian Cyfer	3	2.7	0	-2.7
Matej Zagar	3	5.2	2	-3.2
Kacper Gomolski	3	4.0	0	-4.0
Krzysztof Kasprzak	5	9.8	5	-4.8

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 61.3559.22 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 37.3:28.7 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −2.37 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source