ZIE vs GDA
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 15, 2014 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Patryk Dudek3 2 3 210+2
- 10Oleksandr Loktayev2 3 2 310+2
- 11Andreas Jonsson2 3 3 210+1
- 12Krzysztof Jabłoński3 2 1 39+1
- 13Jarosław Hampel3 3 3 211+1
- 14Adam Strzelec1 2 0 1 15+3
- 15Kamil Adamczewski3 1 2 2 210+1
- 1Renat Gafurov1 1 1 3 39
- 2Artur Mroczka0 0 0 11
- 3Cyprian SzymkoD 0 0 00
- 4Marcel Szymko1 1 1 0 03
- 5Fredrik Lindgren2 1 2 1 06
- 6Krystian Pieszczek2 0 1 36
- 7Dominik Kossakowski0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIE2*
- Renat Gafurov · GDA1
- Artur Mroczka · GDA0
- Kamil Adamczewski · ZIE3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA2
- Adam Strzelec · ZIE1
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA0
- Krzysztof Jabłoński · ZIE3
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE2*
- Marcel Szymko · GDA1
- Cyprian Szymko · GDAD
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Fredrik Lindgren · GDA2
- Kamil Adamczewski · ZIE1
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA0
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE3
- Krzysztof Jabłoński · ZIE2*
- Renat Gafurov · GDA1
- Artur Mroczka · GDA0
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Adam Strzelec · ZIE2*
- Marcel Szymko · GDA1
- Cyprian Szymko · GDA0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIE3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2*
- Fredrik Lindgren · GDA1
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA0
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Kamil Adamczewski · ZIE2*
- Renat Gafurov · GDA1
- Artur Mroczka · GDA0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIE2*
- Marcel Szymko · GDA1
- Cyprian Szymko · GDA0
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE3
- Fredrik Lindgren · GDA2
- Krzysztof Jabłoński · ZIE1
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIE3
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE2*
- Artur Mroczka · GDA1
- Cyprian Szymko · GDA0
- Renat Gafurov · GDA3
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE2
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA1
- Adam Strzelec · ZIE0
- Krzysztof Jabłoński · ZIE3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2*
- Fredrik Lindgren · GDA1
- Marcel Szymko · GDA0
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA3
- Kamil Adamczewski · ZIE2
- Adam Strzelec · ZIE1*
- Marcel Szymko · GDA0
- Renat Gafurov · GDA3
- Kamil Adamczewski · ZIE2
- Adam Strzelec · ZIE1*
- Fredrik Lindgren · GDA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 21 → 20 °C
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Wind
- 10 km/h NW
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.2 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 42 %
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 18 | 6 | +12 | −12 | |
| 5–7 | 15 | 3 | +12 | −12 | |
| 8–10 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| ZIE | GDA | ZIE | GDA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +10 | 98 % |
| 4 | +12 | 96 % |
| 5 | +16 | 100 % |
| 6 | +20 | 99 % |
| 7 | +24 | 100 % |
| 8 | +28 | 100 % |
| 9 | +32 | 100 % |
| 10 | +34 | 100 % |
| 11 | +38 | 100 % |
| 12 | +36 | 100 % |
| 13 | +40 | 100 % |
| 14 | +40 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamil Adamczewski | 5 | 6.2 | 10 | +3.8 |
| Renat Gafurov | 5 | 5.7 | 9 | +3.3 |
| Krzysztof Jabłoński | 4 | 5.9 | 9 | +3.1 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 4 | 8.1 | 10 | +1.9 |
| Patryk Dudek | 4 | 8.2 | 10 | +1.8 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 4 | 8.8 | 10 | +1.2 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 4 | 10.2 | 11 | +0.8 |
| Marcel Szymko | 5 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 4 | 6.1 | 6 | -0.1 |
| Adam Strzelec | 5 | 5.9 | 5 | -0.9 |
| Dominik Kossakowski | 3 | 2.6 | 0 | -2.6 |
| Artur Mroczka | 4 | 4.3 | 1 | -3.3 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 10.0 | 6 | -4.0 |
| Cyprian Szymko | 4 | 5.0 | 0 | -5.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.