WRO vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 4, 2014 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław
Results
- 9Tai Woffinden2 1 2 3 311
- 10Jurica Pavlic1 0 0 01+1
- 11Tomasz Jędrzejak3 1 2 U 17+2
- 12Troy Batchelor2 2 0 2 28+2
- 13Maciej Janowski3 2 2 3 212+1
- 14Patryk Dolny3 1 15+1
- 15Patryk Malitowski0 1 01
- 1Nicki Pedersen3 3 1 2 W9+1
- 2Grzegorz Zengota0 00
- 3Mikkel Michelsen1 0 3 1 38+1
- 4Damian Baliński0 3 1 04
- 5Przemysław Pawlicki2 3 3 1 110
- 6Piotr Pawlicki1 2 3 3 09+2
- 7Tobiasz Musielak2 W 1 25
Heat by heat
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Jurica Pavlic · WRO1*
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES0
- Patryk Dolny · WRO3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1*
- Patryk Malitowski · WRO0
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO3
- Troy Batchelor · WRO2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · LES1
- Damian Baliński · LES0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2
- Patryk Malitowski · WRO1
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Troy Batchelor · WRO2
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO1*
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES0
- Damian Baliński · LES3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Patryk Dolny · WRO1*
- Mikkel Michelsen · LES0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2*
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1
- Jurica Pavlic · WRO0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Nicki Pedersen · LES1
- Patryk Malitowski · WRO0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LES3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Damian Baliński · LES1
- Jurica Pavlic · WRO0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES3
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO2
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES1
- Troy Batchelor · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES2
- Mikkel Michelsen · LES1*
- Jurica Pavlic · WRO0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2*
- Patryk Dolny · WRO1
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WROU
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Troy Batchelor · WRO2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES1
- Damian Baliński · LES0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LES3
- Troy Batchelor · WRO2
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO1*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 11 → 9 °C
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Wind
- 16 km/h NW
- gusts up to 47 km/h
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 54 %
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| WRO | LES | WRO | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead WRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -4 | 18 % |
| 12 | -8 | 7 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | -4 | 8 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patryk Dolny | 3 | 1.8 | 5 | +3.2 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 7.8 | 10 | +2.2 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 5.8 | 8 | +2.2 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 10.5 | 12 | +1.5 |
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 10.0 | 11 | +1.0 |
| Troy Batchelor | 5 | 7.3 | 8 | +0.7 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 9.3 | 9 | -0.3 |
| Patryk Malitowski | 3 | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| Damian Baliński | 4 | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| Tomasz Jędrzejak | 5 | 7.9 | 7 | -0.9 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 4 | 5.9 | 5 | -0.9 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 10.9 | 9 | -1.9 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 2 | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Jurica Pavlic | 4 | 4.6 | 1 | -3.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.